WallStSmart

Vistra Corp. (VST)vsXcel Energy Inc (XEL)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Vistra Corp. generates 31% more annual revenue ($19.21B vs $14.62B). XEL leads profitability with a 15.3% profit margin vs 11.6%. VST appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.38. XEL earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 65/100 (C+).

VST

Buy

54

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 2.0Profit: 7.0Value: 7.0Quality: 2.5
Piotroski: 2/9Altman Z: 0.60

XEL

Buy

65

out of 100

Grade: C+

Growth: 4.0Profit: 6.5Value: 5.0Quality: 3.0
Piotroski: 3/9Altman Z: 0.68

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

VST2 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
0.3810/10

Growing faster than its price suggests

Return on EquityProfitability
40.5%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 40 in profit

XEL3 strengths · Avg: 8.0/10
Price/BookValuation
2.0x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Operating MarginProfitability
22.7%8/10

Strong operational efficiency at 22.7%

EPS GrowthGrowth
24.0%8/10

Earnings expanding 24.0% YoY

Areas to Watch

VST4 concerns · Avg: 2.8/10
Price/BookValuation
16.6x4/10

Trading at 16.6x book value

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
2/93/10

Weak financial health signals

Revenue GrowthGrowth
-5.5%2/10

Revenue declined 5.5%

EPS GrowthGrowth
-6.2%2/10

Earnings declined 6.2%

XEL4 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
1.904/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Debt/EquityHealth
1.683/10

Elevated debt levels

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
3/93/10

Weak financial health signals

Revenue GrowthGrowth
-5.1%2/10

Revenue declined 5.1%

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : VST

The strongest argument for VST centers on PEG Ratio, Return on Equity. PEG of 0.38 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bull Case : XEL

The strongest argument for XEL centers on Price/Book, Operating Margin, EPS Growth. Profitability is solid with margins at 15.3% and operating margin at 22.7%.

Bear Case : VST

The primary concerns for VST are Price/Book, Piotroski F-Score, Revenue Growth. Debt-to-equity of 3.63 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Bear Case : XEL

The primary concerns for XEL are PEG Ratio, Debt/Equity, Piotroski F-Score. Debt-to-equity of 1.68 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

VST carries more volatility with a beta of 1.41 — expect wider price swings.

XEL is growing revenue faster at -5.1% — sustainability is the question.

VST generates stronger free cash flow (133M), providing more financial flexibility.

Monitor UTILITIES - INDEPENDENT POWER PRODUCERS industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.

Bottom Line

XEL scores higher overall (65/100 vs 54/100), backed by strong 15.3% margins. Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Vistra Corp.

UTILITIES · UTILITIES - INDEPENDENT POWER PRODUCERS · USA

Vistra Corp. The company is headquartered in Irving, Texas.

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Xcel Energy Inc

UTILITIES · UTILITIES - REGULATED ELECTRIC · USA

Xcel Energy Inc. is a utility holding company based in Minneapolis, Minnesota, serving more than 3.7 million electric customers and 2.1 million natural gas customers in Minnesota, Michigan, Wisconsin, North Dakota, South Dakota, Colorado, Texas, and New Mexico as of 2019. It consists of four operating subsidiaries: Northern States Power-Minnesota, Northern States Power-Wisconsin, Public Service Company of Colorado, and Southwestern Public Service Co.

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