WallStSmart

Constellation Energy Corp (CEG)vsVistra Energy Corp (VST)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Constellation Energy Corp generates 44% more annual revenue ($25.53B vs $17.74B). CEG leads profitability with a 9.1% profit margin vs 5.3%. VST appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.34. VST earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 53/100 (C-).

CEG

Hold

43

out of 100

Grade: D

Growth: 4.0Profit: 6.5Value: 2.7Quality: 6.0
Piotroski: 6/9Altman Z: 1.14

VST

Buy

53

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 3.3Profit: 6.0Value: 3.3Quality: 2.5
Piotroski: 2/9Altman Z: 0.73
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

CEGSignificantly Overvalued (-45.1%)

Margin of Safety

-45.1%

Fair Value

$190.83

Current Price

$321.05

$130.22 premium

UndervaluedFair: $190.83Overvalued
VSTSignificantly Overvalued (-53.8%)

Margin of Safety

-53.8%

Fair Value

$100.71

Current Price

$160.85

$60.14 premium

UndervaluedFair: $100.71Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

CEG1 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
Market CapQuality
$111.52B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

VST1 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
Market CapQuality
$52.57B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Areas to Watch

CEG4 concerns · Avg: 2.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
3.742/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

P/E RatioValuation
41.6x2/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

EPS GrowthGrowth
-48.9%2/10

Earnings declined 48.9%

Free Cash FlowQuality
$-181.00M2/10

Negative free cash flow — burning cash

VST4 concerns · Avg: 2.5/10
Profit MarginProfitability
5.3%3/10

5.3% margin — thin

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
2/93/10

Weak financial health signals

P/E RatioValuation
71.6x2/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

Price/BookValuation
20.8x2/10

Trading at 20.8x book value

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : CEG

The strongest argument for CEG centers on Market Cap. Revenue growth of 12.9% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : VST

The strongest argument for VST centers on Market Cap. Revenue growth of 13.6% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 1.34 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : CEG

The primary concerns for CEG are PEG Ratio, P/E Ratio, EPS Growth. A P/E of 41.6x leaves little room for execution misses.

Bear Case : VST

The primary concerns for VST are Profit Margin, Piotroski F-Score, P/E Ratio. A P/E of 71.6x leaves little room for execution misses. Debt-to-equity of 3.36 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

VST carries more volatility with a beta of 1.45 — expect wider price swings.

VST is growing revenue faster at 13.6% — sustainability is the question.

VST generates stronger free cash flow (-82M), providing more financial flexibility.

Monitor UTILITIES - INDEPENDENT POWER PRODUCERS industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.

Bottom Line

VST scores higher overall (53/100 vs 43/100) and 13.6% revenue growth. Both earn "Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Constellation Energy Corp

UTILITIES · UTILITIES - INDEPENDENT POWER PRODUCERS · USA

Constellation Energy Corporation is an energy producer in the United States. The company is headquartered in Baltimore, Maryland.

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Vistra Energy Corp

UTILITIES · UTILITIES - INDEPENDENT POWER PRODUCERS · USA

Vistra Corp. The company is headquartered in Irving, Texas.

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