WallStSmart

TransAlta Corp (TAC)vsVistra Energy Corp (VST)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Vistra Energy Corp generates 638% more annual revenue ($17.74B vs $2.40B). VST leads profitability with a 5.3% profit margin vs -5.7%. VST appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.34. VST earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 53/100 (C-).

TAC

Avoid

31

out of 100

Grade: F

Growth: 2.0Profit: 5.0Value: 4.0Quality: 3.3
Piotroski: 2/9Altman Z: -0.14

VST

Buy

53

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 3.3Profit: 6.0Value: 4.7Quality: 2.5
Piotroski: 2/9Altman Z: 0.73
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

Intrinsic value data unavailable for TAC.

VSTSignificantly Overvalued (-975.5%)

Margin of Safety

-975.5%

Fair Value

$14.89

Current Price

$146.02

$131.13 premium

UndervaluedFair: $14.89Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

TAC0 strengths · Avg: 0/10

No standout strengths identified

VST1 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
Market CapQuality
$54.89B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Areas to Watch

TAC4 concerns · Avg: 2.8/10
Price/BookValuation
10.4x4/10

Trading at 10.4x book value

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
2/93/10

Weak financial health signals

PEG RatioValuation
6.982/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Return on EquityProfitability
-9.6%2/10

ROE of -9.6% — below average capital efficiency

VST4 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
Price/BookValuation
18.8x4/10

Trading at 18.8x book value

Profit MarginProfitability
5.3%3/10

5.3% margin — thin

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
2/93/10

Weak financial health signals

P/E RatioValuation
74.0x2/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : TAC

TAC has a balanced fundamental profile.

Bull Case : VST

The strongest argument for VST centers on Market Cap. Revenue growth of 13.6% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 1.34 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : TAC

The primary concerns for TAC are Price/Book, Piotroski F-Score, PEG Ratio.

Bear Case : VST

The primary concerns for VST are Price/Book, Profit Margin, Piotroski F-Score. A P/E of 74.0x leaves little room for execution misses. Debt-to-equity of 3.36 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

TAC profiles as a turnaround stock while VST is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.

VST carries more volatility with a beta of 1.45 — expect wider price swings.

VST is growing revenue faster at 13.6% — sustainability is the question.

TAC generates stronger free cash flow (147M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

VST scores higher overall (53/100 vs 31/100) and 13.6% revenue growth. Both earn "Buy" and "Avoid" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

TransAlta Corp

UTILITIES · UTILITIES - INDEPENDENT POWER PRODUCERS · USA

TransAlta Corporation owns, operates and develops a diverse fleet of electric power generation assets in Canada, the United States and Australia. The company is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.

Vistra Energy Corp

UTILITIES · UTILITIES - INDEPENDENT POWER PRODUCERS · USA

Vistra Corp. The company is headquartered in Irving, Texas.

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