WallStSmart

Ultrapar Participacoes SA ADR (UGP)vsExxon Mobil Corp (XOM)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Exxon Mobil Corp generates 128% more annual revenue ($323.90B vs $142.37B). XOM leads profitability with a 8.9% profit margin vs 1.7%. UGP appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.78. UGP earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 53/100 (C-).

UGP

Buy

53

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 3.3Profit: 5.5Value: 7.0Quality: 6.3
Piotroski: 3/9Altman Z: 4.76

XOM

Buy

50

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 2.0Profit: 6.0Value: 4.7Quality: 6.5
Piotroski: 1/9Altman Z: 3.44
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

Intrinsic value data unavailable for UGP.

XOMSignificantly Overvalued (-46.3%)

Margin of Safety

-46.3%

Fair Value

$105.46

Current Price

$154.33

$48.87 premium

UndervaluedFair: $105.46Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

UGP5 strengths · Avg: 8.4/10
Altman Z-ScoreHealth
4.7610/10

Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk

PEG RatioValuation
0.788/10

Growing faster than its price suggests

P/E RatioValuation
12.3x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Price/BookValuation
2.0x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Free Cash FlowQuality
$1.06B8/10

Generating 1.1B in free cash flow

XOM5 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
Market CapQuality
$642.90B10/10

Mega-cap, among the largest globally

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
3.4410/10

Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk

Debt/EquityHealth
0.279/10

Conservative balance sheet, low leverage

Price/BookValuation
2.5x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Free Cash FlowQuality
$5.23B8/10

Generating 5.2B in free cash flow

Areas to Watch

UGP4 concerns · Avg: 2.8/10
Profit MarginProfitability
1.7%3/10

1.7% margin — thin

Operating MarginProfitability
3.1%3/10

Operating margin of 3.1%

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
3/93/10

Weak financial health signals

EPS GrowthGrowth
-59.5%2/10

Earnings declined 59.5%

XOM3 concerns · Avg: 2.3/10
Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
1/93/10

Weak financial health signals

Revenue GrowthGrowth
-1.3%2/10

Revenue declined 1.3%

EPS GrowthGrowth
-11.0%2/10

Earnings declined 11.0%

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : UGP

The strongest argument for UGP centers on Altman Z-Score, PEG Ratio, P/E Ratio. PEG of 0.78 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bull Case : XOM

The strongest argument for XOM centers on Market Cap, Altman Z-Score, Debt/Equity. PEG of 1.38 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : UGP

The primary concerns for UGP are Profit Margin, Operating Margin, Piotroski F-Score. Thin 1.7% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Bear Case : XOM

The primary concerns for XOM are Piotroski F-Score, Revenue Growth, EPS Growth.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

UGP carries more volatility with a beta of 0.42 — expect wider price swings.

UGP is growing revenue faster at 7.2% — sustainability is the question.

XOM generates stronger free cash flow (5.2B), providing more financial flexibility.

Monitor OIL & GAS REFINING & MARKETING industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.

Bottom Line

UGP scores higher overall (53/100 vs 50/100). Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Ultrapar Participacoes SA ADR

ENERGY · OIL & GAS REFINING & MARKETING · USA

Ultrapar Participaes SA is engaged in the gas distribution, fuel distribution, chemical products, storage and pharmacy businesses mainly in Brazil, Mexico, Uruguay, Venezuela, other Latin American countries, the United States, Canada, the Far East, Europe and internationally. The company is headquartered in So Paulo, Brazil.

Exxon Mobil Corp

ENERGY · OIL & GAS INTEGRATED · USA

Exxon Mobil Corporation, stylized as ExxonMobil, is an American multinational oil and gas corporation headquartered in Irving, Texas. It is the largest direct descendant of John D. Rockefeller's Standard Oil, and was formed on November 30, 1999 by the merger of Exxon (formerly the Standard Oil Company of New Jersey) and Mobil (formerly the Standard Oil Company of New York). ExxonMobil's primary brands are Exxon, Mobil, Esso, and ExxonMobil Chemical. ExxonMobil is incorporated in New Jersey.

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