Post Holdings Inc (POST)vsTarget Corporation (TGT)
POST
Post Holdings Inc
$90.43
+1.93%
CONSUMER DEFENSIVE · Cap: $4.22B
TGT
Target Corporation
$122.57
-1.03%
CONSUMER DEFENSIVE · Cap: $55.95B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Target Corporation generates 1159% more annual revenue ($106.38B vs $8.45B). POST leads profitability with a 4.0% profit margin vs 3.2%. POST appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.17. POST earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 64/100 (C+).
POST
Buy64
out of 100
Grade: C+
TGT
Buy52
out of 100
Grade: C-
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+26.6%
Fair Value
$151.07
Current Price
$90.43
$60.64 discount
Margin of Safety
+4.0%
Fair Value
$119.45
Current Price
$122.57
$3.12 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Reasonable price relative to book value
Earnings expanding 51.1% YoY
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Large-cap with strong market position
Every $100 of equity generates 21 in profit
Conservative balance sheet, low leverage
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Areas to Watch
4.7% revenue growth
4.0% margin — thin
Weak financial health signals
Distress zone — elevated risk
Expensive relative to growth rate
3.2% margin — thin
Operating margin of 4.5%
Weak financial health signals
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : POST
The strongest argument for POST centers on Price/Book, EPS Growth, P/E Ratio. PEG of 1.17 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bull Case : TGT
The strongest argument for TGT centers on Market Cap, Return on Equity, Debt/Equity.
Bear Case : POST
The primary concerns for POST are Revenue Growth, Profit Margin, Piotroski F-Score. Debt-to-equity of 2.39 is elevated, increasing financial risk. Thin 4.0% margins leave little buffer for downturns.
Bear Case : TGT
The primary concerns for TGT are PEG Ratio, Profit Margin, Operating Margin. Thin 3.2% margins leave little buffer for downturns.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
TGT carries more volatility with a beta of 1.01 — expect wider price swings.
TGT is growing revenue faster at 6.7% — sustainability is the question.
POST generates stronger free cash flow (126M), providing more financial flexibility.
Monitor PACKAGED FOODS industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.
Bottom Line
POST scores higher overall (64/100 vs 52/100). Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Post Holdings Inc
CONSUMER DEFENSIVE · PACKAGED FOODS · USA
Post Holdings, Inc. is a consumer packaged goods holding company in the United States and internationally. The company is headquartered in St. Louis, Missouri.
Target Corporation
CONSUMER DEFENSIVE · DISCOUNT STORES · USA
Target Corporation is an American retail corporation. Their retail formats include the discount store Target, the hypermarket SuperTarget, and small-format stores previously named CityTarget and TargetExpress before being consolidated under the Target branding.
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