Northrop Grumman Corporation (NOC)vsProgressive Corp (PGR)
NOC
Northrop Grumman Corporation
$691.21
+1.33%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $97.36B
PGR
Progressive Corp
$202.84
-1.63%
FINANCIAL SERVICES · Cap: $120.67B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Progressive Corp generates 109% more annual revenue ($87.64B vs $41.95B). PGR leads profitability with a 12.9% profit margin vs 10.0%. NOC appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 5.36. PGR earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 67/100 (B-).
NOC
Buy56
out of 100
Grade: C
PGR
Strong Buy67
out of 100
Grade: B-
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+24.9%
Fair Value
$904.35
Current Price
$691.21
$213.14 discount
Margin of Safety
+76.9%
Fair Value
$900.43
Current Price
$202.84
$697.59 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Large-cap with strong market position
Every $100 of equity generates 26 in profit
Generating 3.2B in free cash flow
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Every $100 of equity generates 41 in profit
Large-cap with strong market position
Earnings expanding 25.2% YoY
Generating 3.0B in free cash flow
Areas to Watch
Grey zone — moderate risk
Elevated debt levels
Weak financial health signals
Expensive relative to growth rate
Expensive relative to growth rate
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : NOC
The strongest argument for NOC centers on Market Cap, Return on Equity, Free Cash Flow.
Bull Case : PGR
The strongest argument for PGR centers on P/E Ratio, Return on Equity, Market Cap. Revenue growth of 12.2% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bear Case : NOC
The primary concerns for NOC are Altman Z-Score, Debt/Equity, Piotroski F-Score.
Bear Case : PGR
The primary concerns for PGR are PEG Ratio.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
PGR carries more volatility with a beta of 0.29 — expect wider price swings.
PGR is growing revenue faster at 12.2% — sustainability is the question.
NOC generates stronger free cash flow (3.2B), providing more financial flexibility.
Monitor AEROSPACE & DEFENSE industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.
Bottom Line
PGR scores higher overall (67/100 vs 56/100) and 12.2% revenue growth. NOC offers better value entry with a 24.9% margin of safety. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Northrop Grumman Corporation
INDUSTRIALS · AEROSPACE & DEFENSE · USA
Northrop Grumman Corporation (NYSE: NOC) is an American multinational aerospace and defense technology company.
Visit Website →Progressive Corp
FINANCIAL SERVICES · INSURANCE - PROPERTY & CASUALTY · USA
The Progressive Corporation is an American insurance company, one of the largest providers of car insurance in the United States. The company insures motorcycles, boats, RVs, and commercial vehicles and provides home insurance through select companies.
Visit Website →Compare with Other AEROSPACE & DEFENSE Stocks
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