WallStSmart

Northrop Grumman Corporation (NOC)vsProgressive Corp (PGR)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Progressive Corp generates 111% more annual revenue ($89.42B vs $42.37B). PGR leads profitability with a 12.9% profit margin vs 10.8%. NOC appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 4.16. NOC earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 63/100 (C+).

NOC

Buy

63

out of 100

Grade: C+

Growth: 6.0Profit: 7.0Value: 4.0Quality: 4.5
Piotroski: 3/9Altman Z: 1.96

PGR

Buy

61

out of 100

Grade: C+

Growth: 7.3Profit: 7.5Value: 5.7Quality: 5.3
Piotroski: 4/9
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

NOCSignificantly Overvalued (-60.9%)

Margin of Safety

-60.9%

Fair Value

$421.87

Current Price

$549.52

$127.65 premium

UndervaluedFair: $421.87Overvalued

Intrinsic value data unavailable for PGR.

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

NOC4 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
EPS GrowthGrowth
84.9%10/10

Earnings expanding 84.9% YoY

Market CapQuality
$78.44B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Return on EquityProfitability
28.5%9/10

Every $100 of equity generates 29 in profit

P/E RatioValuation
17.3x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

PGR4 strengths · Avg: 9.3/10
P/E RatioValuation
9.9x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Return on EquityProfitability
37.9%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 38 in profit

Market CapQuality
$113.36B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Free Cash FlowQuality
$4.30B8/10

Generating 4.3B in free cash flow

Areas to Watch

NOC4 concerns · Avg: 3.5/10
Revenue GrowthGrowth
4.4%4/10

4.4% revenue growth

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.964/10

Grey zone — moderate risk

Debt/EquityHealth
1.183/10

Elevated debt levels

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
3/93/10

Weak financial health signals

PGR1 concerns · Avg: 2.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
30.202/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : NOC

The strongest argument for NOC centers on EPS Growth, Market Cap, Return on Equity.

Bull Case : PGR

The strongest argument for PGR centers on P/E Ratio, Return on Equity, Market Cap.

Bear Case : NOC

The primary concerns for NOC are Revenue Growth, Altman Z-Score, Debt/Equity.

Bear Case : PGR

The primary concerns for PGR are PEG Ratio.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

PGR carries more volatility with a beta of 0.29 — expect wider price swings.

PGR is growing revenue faster at 8.7% — sustainability is the question.

PGR generates stronger free cash flow (4.3B), providing more financial flexibility.

Monitor AEROSPACE & DEFENSE industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.

Bottom Line

NOC scores higher overall (63/100 vs 61/100). Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Northrop Grumman Corporation

INDUSTRIALS · AEROSPACE & DEFENSE · USA

Northrop Grumman Corporation (NYSE: NOC) is an American multinational aerospace and defense technology company.

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Progressive Corp

FINANCIAL SERVICES · INSURANCE - PROPERTY & CASUALTY · USA

The Progressive Corporation is an American insurance company, one of the largest providers of car insurance in the United States. The company insures motorcycles, boats, RVs, and commercial vehicles and provides home insurance through select companies.

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