WallStSmart

Lockheed Martin Corporation (LMT)vsProgressive Corp (PGR)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Progressive Corp generates 17% more annual revenue ($87.64B vs $75.05B). PGR leads profitability with a 12.9% profit margin vs 6.7%. LMT appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.34. PGR earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 67/100 (B-).

LMT

Buy

65

out of 100

Grade: C+

Growth: 4.7Profit: 6.5Value: 10.0Quality: 4.5
Piotroski: 3/9Altman Z: 2.09

PGR

Strong Buy

67

out of 100

Grade: B-

Growth: 8.0Profit: 7.5Value: 7.3Quality: 5.3
Piotroski: 4/9
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

LMTUndervalued (+37.5%)

Margin of Safety

+37.5%

Fair Value

$1005.26

Current Price

$624.20

$381.06 discount

UndervaluedFair: $1005.26Overvalued
PGRUndervalued (+76.9%)

Margin of Safety

+76.9%

Fair Value

$900.43

Current Price

$202.84

$697.59 discount

UndervaluedFair: $900.43Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

LMT3 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
Return on EquityProfitability
76.9%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 77 in profit

Market CapQuality
$144.44B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Free Cash FlowQuality
$2.76B8/10

Generating 2.8B in free cash flow

PGR5 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
P/E RatioValuation
10.7x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Return on EquityProfitability
40.5%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 41 in profit

Market CapQuality
$120.67B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

EPS GrowthGrowth
25.2%8/10

Earnings expanding 25.2% YoY

Free Cash FlowQuality
$3.05B8/10

Generating 3.0B in free cash flow

Areas to Watch

LMT4 concerns · Avg: 3.5/10
P/E RatioValuation
29.1x4/10

Moderate valuation

EPS GrowthGrowth
1.6%4/10

1.6% earnings growth

Profit MarginProfitability
6.7%3/10

6.7% margin — thin

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
3/93/10

Weak financial health signals

PGR1 concerns · Avg: 2.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
31.572/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : LMT

The strongest argument for LMT centers on Return on Equity, Market Cap, Free Cash Flow. PEG of 1.34 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bull Case : PGR

The strongest argument for PGR centers on P/E Ratio, Return on Equity, Market Cap. Revenue growth of 12.2% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bear Case : LMT

The primary concerns for LMT are P/E Ratio, EPS Growth, Profit Margin. Debt-to-equity of 3.23 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Bear Case : PGR

The primary concerns for PGR are PEG Ratio.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

PGR carries more volatility with a beta of 0.29 — expect wider price swings.

PGR is growing revenue faster at 12.2% — sustainability is the question.

PGR generates stronger free cash flow (3.0B), providing more financial flexibility.

Monitor AEROSPACE & DEFENSE industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.

Bottom Line

PGR scores higher overall (67/100 vs 65/100) and 12.2% revenue growth. LMT offers better value entry with a 37.5% margin of safety. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Lockheed Martin Corporation

INDUSTRIALS · AEROSPACE & DEFENSE · USA

Lockheed Martin Corporation is an American aerospace, defense, information security, and technology company with worldwide interests. It is headquartered in North Bethesda, Maryland, in the Washington, D.C., area.

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Progressive Corp

FINANCIAL SERVICES · INSURANCE - PROPERTY & CASUALTY · USA

The Progressive Corporation is an American insurance company, one of the largest providers of car insurance in the United States. The company insures motorcycles, boats, RVs, and commercial vehicles and provides home insurance through select companies.

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