WallStSmart

Howmet Aerospace Inc (HWM)vsZTO Express (Cayman) Inc (ZTO)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc generates 497% more annual revenue ($51.49B vs $8.62B). HWM leads profitability with a 20.2% profit margin vs 17.9%. HWM appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.80. HWM earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 73/100 (B).

HWM

Strong Buy

73

out of 100

Grade: B

Growth: 8.7Profit: 9.0Value: 5.0Quality: 7.5
Piotroski: 6/9Altman Z: 2.61

ZTO

Strong Buy

70

out of 100

Grade: B-

Growth: 7.3Profit: 7.0Value: 8.0Quality: 7.5
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 3.36
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

Intrinsic value data unavailable for HWM.

ZTOUndervalued (+64.6%)

Margin of Safety

+64.6%

Fair Value

$70.28

Current Price

$22.28

$48.00 discount

UndervaluedFair: $70.28Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

HWM6 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
Return on EquityProfitability
31.6%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 32 in profit

EPS GrowthGrowth
71.4%10/10

Earnings expanding 71.4% YoY

Market CapQuality
$100.31B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Profit MarginProfitability
20.2%9/10

Keeps 20 of every $100 in revenue as profit

PEG RatioValuation
0.808/10

Growing faster than its price suggests

Operating MarginProfitability
28.2%8/10

Strong operational efficiency at 28.2%

ZTO5 strengths · Avg: 8.4/10
Altman Z-ScoreHealth
3.3610/10

Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk

P/E RatioValuation
13.3x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Price/BookValuation
1.8x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Revenue GrowthGrowth
22.0%8/10

Revenue surging 22.0% year-over-year

Free Cash FlowQuality
$2.79B8/10

Generating 2.8B in free cash flow

Areas to Watch

HWM2 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
Price/BookValuation
18.2x4/10

Trading at 18.2x book value

P/E RatioValuation
58.2x2/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

ZTO0 concerns · Avg: 0/10

No major concerns identified

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : HWM

The strongest argument for HWM centers on Return on Equity, EPS Growth, Market Cap. Profitability is solid with margins at 20.2% and operating margin at 28.2%. Revenue growth of 19.1% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : ZTO

The strongest argument for ZTO centers on Altman Z-Score, P/E Ratio, Price/Book. Profitability is solid with margins at 17.9% and operating margin at 19.2%. Revenue growth of 22.0% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bear Case : HWM

The primary concerns for HWM are Price/Book, P/E Ratio. A P/E of 58.2x leaves little room for execution misses.

Bear Case : ZTO

No major red flags identified for ZTO, but monitor valuation.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

HWM carries more volatility with a beta of 1.19 — expect wider price swings.

ZTO is growing revenue faster at 22.0% — sustainability is the question.

ZTO generates stronger free cash flow (2.8B), providing more financial flexibility.

Monitor AEROSPACE & DEFENSE industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.

Bottom Line

HWM scores higher overall (73/100 vs 70/100), backed by strong 20.2% margins and 19.1% revenue growth. ZTO offers better value entry with a 64.6% margin of safety. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Strong Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Howmet Aerospace Inc

INDUSTRIALS · AEROSPACE & DEFENSE · USA

Howmet Aerospace Inc. is an American aerospace company based in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. The company manufactures components for jet engines, fasteners and titanium structures for aerospace applications, and forged aluminum wheels for heavy trucks.

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc

INDUSTRIALS · INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS · China

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. provides express delivery and other value-added logistics services in the People's Republic of China. The company is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.

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