WallStSmart

Humana Inc (HUM)vsEli Lilly and Company (LLY)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Humana Inc generates 90% more annual revenue ($137.20B vs $72.25B). LLY leads profitability with a 35.0% profit margin vs 0.8%. LLY appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.28. LLY earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 78/100 (B+).

HUM

Buy

57

out of 100

Grade: C

Growth: 6.0Profit: 4.5Value: 6.7Quality: 7.5
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 4.37

LLY

Strong Buy

78

out of 100

Grade: B+

Growth: 10.0Profit: 10.0Value: 5.0Quality: 6.5
Piotroski: 6/9Altman Z: 2.06
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

HUMUndervalued (+80.9%)

Margin of Safety

+80.9%

Fair Value

$1139.79

Current Price

$274.26

$865.53 discount

UndervaluedFair: $1139.79Overvalued

Intrinsic value data unavailable for LLY.

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

HUM4 strengths · Avg: 8.5/10
Altman Z-ScoreHealth
4.3710/10

Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk

Price/BookValuation
1.9x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Revenue GrowthGrowth
23.5%8/10

Revenue surging 23.5% year-over-year

Free Cash FlowQuality
$1.13B8/10

Generating 1.1B in free cash flow

LLY6 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
Market CapQuality
$905.79B10/10

Mega-cap, among the largest globally

Return on EquityProfitability
107.5%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 108 in profit

Profit MarginProfitability
35.0%10/10

Keeps 35 of every $100 in revenue as profit

Operating MarginProfitability
49.4%10/10

Strong operational efficiency at 49.4%

Revenue GrowthGrowth
55.5%10/10

Revenue surging 55.5% year-over-year

EPS GrowthGrowth
169.9%10/10

Earnings expanding 169.9% YoY

Areas to Watch

HUM4 concerns · Avg: 3.5/10
PEG RatioValuation
1.564/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

P/E RatioValuation
29.2x4/10

Moderate valuation

Return on EquityProfitability
6.3%3/10

ROE of 6.3% — below average capital efficiency

Profit MarginProfitability
0.8%3/10

0.8% margin — thin

LLY3 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
P/E RatioValuation
35.2x4/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

Debt/EquityHealth
1.603/10

Elevated debt levels

Price/BookValuation
27.7x2/10

Trading at 27.7x book value

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : HUM

The strongest argument for HUM centers on Altman Z-Score, Price/Book, Revenue Growth. Revenue growth of 23.5% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : LLY

The strongest argument for LLY centers on Market Cap, Return on Equity, Profit Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 35.0% and operating margin at 49.4%. Revenue growth of 55.5% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bear Case : HUM

The primary concerns for HUM are PEG Ratio, P/E Ratio, Return on Equity. Thin 0.8% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Bear Case : LLY

The primary concerns for LLY are P/E Ratio, Debt/Equity, Price/Book. Debt-to-equity of 1.60 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

HUM carries more volatility with a beta of 0.68 — expect wider price swings.

LLY is growing revenue faster at 55.5% — sustainability is the question.

LLY generates stronger free cash flow (3.0B), providing more financial flexibility.

Monitor HEALTHCARE PLANS industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.

Bottom Line

LLY scores higher overall (78/100 vs 57/100), backed by strong 35.0% margins and 55.5% revenue growth. HUM offers better value entry with a 80.9% margin of safety. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Humana Inc

HEALTHCARE · HEALTHCARE PLANS · USA

Humana Inc. is a for-profit American health insurance company based in Louisville, Kentucky.

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Eli Lilly and Company

HEALTHCARE · DRUG MANUFACTURERS - GENERAL · USA

Eli Lilly and Company is an American pharmaceutical company headquartered in Indianapolis, Indiana, with offices in 18 countries. Its products are sold in approximately 125 countries.

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