WallStSmart

Humana Inc (HUM)vsEli Lilly and Company (LLY)

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Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Humana Inc generates 68% more annual revenue ($145.68B vs $86.46B). LLY leads profitability with a 31.9% profit margin vs 0.9%. HUM appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.14. LLY earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 74/100 (B).

HUM

Buy

64

out of 100

Grade: C+

Growth: 8.0Profit: 4.5Value: 5.3Quality: 7.0
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 3.91

LLY

Strong Buy

74

out of 100

Grade: B

Growth: 9.3Profit: 10.0Value: 5.0Quality: 6.0
Piotroski: 6/9Altman Z: 2.16
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

HUMUndervalued (+8.2%)

Margin of Safety

+8.2%

Fair Value

$423.98

Current Price

$410.41

$13.57 discount

UndervaluedFair: $423.98Overvalued

Intrinsic value data unavailable for LLY.

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

HUM4 strengths · Avg: 8.5/10
Altman Z-ScoreHealth
3.9110/10

Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk

Price/BookValuation
2.6x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Revenue GrowthGrowth
26.2%8/10

Revenue surging 26.2% year-over-year

EPS GrowthGrowth
27.1%8/10

Earnings expanding 27.1% YoY

LLY6 strengths · Avg: 9.7/10
Market CapQuality
$1.26T10/10

Mega-cap, among the largest globally

Return on EquityProfitability
78.8%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 79 in profit

Profit MarginProfitability
31.9%10/10

Keeps 32 of every $100 in revenue as profit

Operating MarginProfitability
53.7%10/10

Strong operational efficiency at 53.7%

Revenue GrowthGrowth
38.6%10/10

Revenue surging 38.6% year-over-year

Free Cash FlowQuality
$7.76B8/10

Generating 7.8B in free cash flow

Areas to Watch

HUM4 concerns · Avg: 3.3/10
P/E RatioValuation
38.9x4/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

Return on EquityProfitability
6.7%3/10

ROE of 6.7% — below average capital efficiency

Profit MarginProfitability
0.9%3/10

0.9% margin — thin

Operating MarginProfitability
3.5%3/10

Operating margin of 3.5%

LLY3 concerns · Avg: 2.3/10
Debt/EquityHealth
1.623/10

Elevated debt levels

P/E RatioValuation
46.0x2/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

Price/BookValuation
31.2x2/10

Trading at 31.2x book value

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : HUM

The strongest argument for HUM centers on Altman Z-Score, Price/Book, Revenue Growth. Revenue growth of 26.2% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 1.14 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bull Case : LLY

The strongest argument for LLY centers on Market Cap, Return on Equity, Profit Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 31.9% and operating margin at 53.7%. Revenue growth of 38.6% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bear Case : HUM

The primary concerns for HUM are P/E Ratio, Return on Equity, Profit Margin. Thin 0.9% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Bear Case : LLY

The primary concerns for LLY are Debt/Equity, P/E Ratio, Price/Book. A P/E of 46.0x leaves little room for execution misses. Debt-to-equity of 1.62 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

HUM carries more volatility with a beta of 0.74 — expect wider price swings.

LLY is growing revenue faster at 38.6% — sustainability is the question.

LLY generates stronger free cash flow (7.8B), providing more financial flexibility.

Monitor HEALTHCARE PLANS industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.

Bottom Line

LLY scores higher overall (74/100 vs 64/100), backed by strong 31.9% margins and 38.6% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Humana Inc

HEALTHCARE · HEALTHCARE PLANS · USA

Humana Inc. is a for-profit American health insurance company based in Louisville, Kentucky.

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Eli Lilly and Company

HEALTHCARE · DRUG MANUFACTURERS - GENERAL · USA

Eli Lilly and Company is an American pharmaceutical company headquartered in Indianapolis, Indiana, with offices in 18 countries. Its products are sold in approximately 125 countries.

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