WallStSmart

Hallador Energy Company (HNRG)vsVistra Corp. (VST)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Vistra Corp. generates 4123% more annual revenue ($19.21B vs $454.91M). VST leads profitability with a 11.6% profit margin vs -0.2%. VST appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.38. VST earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 54/100 (C-).

HNRG

Hold

44

out of 100

Grade: D

Growth: 6.0Profit: 2.5Value: 4.3Quality: 6.0
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 1.67

VST

Buy

54

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 2.0Profit: 7.0Value: 7.0Quality: 2.5
Piotroski: 2/9Altman Z: 0.60

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

HNRG2 strengths · Avg: 9.5/10
EPS GrowthGrowth
1408.0%10/10

Earnings expanding 1408.0% YoY

Debt/EquityHealth
0.259/10

Conservative balance sheet, low leverage

VST2 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
0.3810/10

Growing faster than its price suggests

Return on EquityProfitability
40.5%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 40 in profit

Areas to Watch

HNRG4 concerns · Avg: 2.8/10
Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.674/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

Market CapQuality
$682.64M3/10

Smaller company, higher risk/reward

P/E RatioValuation
724.0x2/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

Return on EquityProfitability
-0.5%2/10

ROE of -0.5% — below average capital efficiency

VST4 concerns · Avg: 2.8/10
Price/BookValuation
15.7x4/10

Trading at 15.7x book value

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
2/93/10

Weak financial health signals

Revenue GrowthGrowth
-5.5%2/10

Revenue declined 5.5%

EPS GrowthGrowth
-6.2%2/10

Earnings declined 6.2%

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : HNRG

The strongest argument for HNRG centers on EPS Growth, Debt/Equity. PEG of 1.26 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bull Case : VST

The strongest argument for VST centers on PEG Ratio, Return on Equity. PEG of 0.38 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : HNRG

The primary concerns for HNRG are Altman Z-Score, Market Cap, P/E Ratio. A P/E of 724.0x leaves little room for execution misses.

Bear Case : VST

The primary concerns for VST are Price/Book, Piotroski F-Score, Revenue Growth. Debt-to-equity of 3.63 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

HNRG profiles as a turnaround stock while VST is a declining play — different risk/reward profiles.

VST carries more volatility with a beta of 1.41 — expect wider price swings.

HNRG is growing revenue faster at -1.3% — sustainability is the question.

VST generates stronger free cash flow (133M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

VST scores higher overall (54/100 vs 44/100). Both earn "Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Hallador Energy Company

UTILITIES · UTILITIES - INDEPENDENT POWER PRODUCERS · USA

Hallador Energy Company is engaged in the production of steam coal in the Illinois Basin for the electric power generation industry. The company is headquartered in Terre Haute, Indiana.

Vistra Corp.

UTILITIES · UTILITIES - INDEPENDENT POWER PRODUCERS · USA

Vistra Corp. The company is headquartered in Irving, Texas.

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