WallStSmart

Graphic Packaging Holding Company (GPK)vsPackaging Corp of America (PKG)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Packaging Corp of America generates 7% more annual revenue ($9.22B vs $8.65B). PKG leads profitability with a 8.0% profit margin vs 3.2%. PKG appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.71. PKG earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 54/100 (C-).

GPK

Hold

48

out of 100

Grade: D+

Growth: 2.7Profit: 5.0Value: 5.7Quality: 4.0
Piotroski: 3/9Altman Z: 1.45

PKG

Buy

54

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 4.0Profit: 7.0Value: 5.0Quality: 6.5
Piotroski: 1/9Altman Z: 2.34

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

GPK2 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
P/E RatioValuation
11.6x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Price/BookValuation
1.0x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

PKG0 strengths · Avg: 0/10

No standout strengths identified

Areas to Watch

GPK4 concerns · Avg: 3.3/10
Revenue GrowthGrowth
1.7%4/10

1.7% revenue growth

Profit MarginProfitability
3.2%3/10

3.2% margin — thin

Operating MarginProfitability
4.1%3/10

Operating margin of 4.1%

Debt/EquityHealth
1.773/10

Elevated debt levels

PKG4 concerns · Avg: 3.3/10
PEG RatioValuation
1.714/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

P/E RatioValuation
27.7x4/10

Moderate valuation

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
1/93/10

Weak financial health signals

EPS GrowthGrowth
-15.5%2/10

Earnings declined 15.5%

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : GPK

The strongest argument for GPK centers on P/E Ratio, Price/Book.

Bull Case : PKG

Revenue growth of 10.6% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bear Case : GPK

The primary concerns for GPK are Revenue Growth, Profit Margin, Operating Margin. Debt-to-equity of 1.77 is elevated, increasing financial risk. Thin 3.2% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Bear Case : PKG

The primary concerns for PKG are PEG Ratio, P/E Ratio, Piotroski F-Score.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

PKG carries more volatility with a beta of 0.83 — expect wider price swings.

PKG is growing revenue faster at 10.6% — sustainability is the question.

PKG generates stronger free cash flow (165M), providing more financial flexibility.

Monitor PACKAGING & CONTAINERS industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.

Bottom Line

PKG scores higher overall (54/100 vs 48/100) and 10.6% revenue growth. Both earn "Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Graphic Packaging Holding Company

CONSUMER CYCLICAL · PACKAGING & CONTAINERS · USA

Graphic Packaging Holding Company, offers paper packaging solutions for food, beverage, food service and other consumer products companies. The company is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.

Packaging Corp of America

CONSUMER CYCLICAL · PACKAGING & CONTAINERS · USA

Packaging Corporation of America is an American manufacturing company based in Lake Forest, Illinois.

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