Graphic Packaging Holding Company (GPK)vsPackaging Corp of America (PKG)
GPK
Graphic Packaging Holding Company
$9.50
+1.17%
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · Cap: $2.82B
PKG
Packaging Corp of America
$234.40
+0.86%
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · Cap: $20.67B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Packaging Corp of America generates 10% more annual revenue ($9.53B vs $8.64B). PKG leads profitability with a 7.3% profit margin vs 2.3%. PKG appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.52. PKG earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 52/100 (C-).
GPK
Hold46
out of 100
Grade: D+
PKG
Buy52
out of 100
Grade: C-
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Intrinsic value data unavailable for GPK.
Margin of Safety
-89.6%
Fair Value
$129.00
Current Price
$234.40
$105.40 premium
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Reasonable price relative to book value
Attractively priced relative to earnings
No standout strengths identified
Areas to Watch
2.3% margin — thin
Operating margin of 4.5%
Elevated debt levels
Weak financial health signals
Expensive relative to growth rate
Premium valuation, high expectations priced in
7.3% margin — thin
Weak financial health signals
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : GPK
The strongest argument for GPK centers on Price/Book, P/E Ratio.
Bull Case : PKG
Revenue growth of 14.7% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bear Case : GPK
The primary concerns for GPK are Profit Margin, Operating Margin, Debt/Equity. Debt-to-equity of 1.80 is elevated, increasing financial risk. Thin 2.3% margins leave little buffer for downturns.
Bear Case : PKG
The primary concerns for PKG are PEG Ratio, P/E Ratio, Profit Margin.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
PKG carries more volatility with a beta of 0.80 — expect wider price swings.
PKG is growing revenue faster at 14.7% — sustainability is the question.
PKG generates stronger free cash flow (170M), providing more financial flexibility.
Monitor PACKAGING & CONTAINERS industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.
Bottom Line
PKG scores higher overall (52/100 vs 46/100) and 14.7% revenue growth. Both earn "Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Graphic Packaging Holding Company
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · PACKAGING & CONTAINERS · USA
Graphic Packaging Holding Company, offers paper packaging solutions for food, beverage, food service and other consumer products companies. The company is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.
Packaging Corp of America
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · PACKAGING & CONTAINERS · USA
Packaging Corporation of America is an American manufacturing company based in Lake Forest, Illinois.
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