Grocery Outlet Holding Corp (GO)vsTarget Corporation (TGT)
GO
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp
$12.99
-1.14%
CONSUMER DEFENSIVE · Cap: $1.28B
TGT
Target Corporation
$158.41
+0.29%
CONSUMER DEFENSIVE · Cap: $70.13B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Target Corporation generates 2171% more annual revenue ($107.70B vs $4.74B). TGT leads profitability with a 4.1% profit margin vs -8.0%. TGT earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 64/100 (C+).
GO
Hold43
out of 100
Grade: D
TGT
Buy64
out of 100
Grade: C+
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+58.0%
Fair Value
$23.32
Current Price
$12.99
$10.33 discount
Margin of Safety
+5.4%
Fair Value
$121.20
Current Price
$158.41
$37.21 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Reasonable price relative to book value
Earnings expanding 100.5% YoY
Large-cap with strong market position
Every $100 of equity generates 25 in profit
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Generating 2.4B in free cash flow
Areas to Watch
1.1% revenue growth
Distress zone — elevated risk
Smaller company, higher risk/reward
Operating margin of 1.8%
Expensive relative to growth rate
4.1% margin — thin
Elevated debt levels
Weak financial health signals
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : GO
The strongest argument for GO centers on Price/Book.
Bull Case : TGT
The strongest argument for TGT centers on EPS Growth, Market Cap, Return on Equity.
Bear Case : GO
The primary concerns for GO are Revenue Growth, Altman Z-Score, Market Cap. Debt-to-equity of 2.27 is elevated, increasing financial risk.
Bear Case : TGT
The primary concerns for TGT are PEG Ratio, Profit Margin, Debt/Equity. Thin 4.1% margins leave little buffer for downturns.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
GO profiles as a turnaround stock while TGT is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.
TGT carries more volatility with a beta of 0.98 — expect wider price swings.
TGT is growing revenue faster at 5.3% — sustainability is the question.
TGT generates stronger free cash flow (2.4B), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
TGT scores higher overall (64/100 vs 43/100). GO offers better value entry with a 58.0% margin of safety. Both earn "Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp
CONSUMER DEFENSIVE · GROCERY STORES · USA
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. The company is headquartered in Emeryville, California.
Visit Website →Target Corporation
CONSUMER DEFENSIVE · DISCOUNT STORES · USA
Target Corporation is an American retail corporation. Their retail formats include the discount store Target, the hypermarket SuperTarget, and small-format stores previously named CityTarget and TargetExpress before being consolidated under the Target branding.
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