WallStSmart

Greif Inc (GEF-B)vsPackaging Corp of America (PKG)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Packaging Corp of America generates 111% more annual revenue ($8.99B vs $4.27B). GEF-B leads profitability with a 25.0% profit margin vs 8.6%. GEF-B appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.67. GEF-B earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 64/100 (C+).

GEF-B

Buy

64

out of 100

Grade: C+

Growth: 3.3Profit: 6.5Value: 10.0Quality: 5.0

PKG

Buy

54

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 4.0Profit: 7.0Value: 7.3Quality: 4.3
Piotroski: 1/9
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

GEF-BUndervalued (+48.4%)

Margin of Safety

+48.4%

Fair Value

$169.88

Current Price

$84.36

$85.52 discount

UndervaluedFair: $169.88Overvalued
PKGSignificantly Overvalued (-319.6%)

Margin of Safety

-319.6%

Fair Value

$58.28

Current Price

$213.36

$155.08 premium

UndervaluedFair: $58.28Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

GEF-B3 strengths · Avg: 8.3/10
Profit MarginProfitability
25.0%9/10

Keeps 25 of every $100 in revenue as profit

PEG RatioValuation
0.678/10

Growing faster than its price suggests

Price/BookValuation
1.6x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

PKG0 strengths · Avg: 0/10

No standout strengths identified

Areas to Watch

GEF-B3 concerns · Avg: 2.3/10
Return on EquityProfitability
7.2%3/10

ROE of 7.2% — below average capital efficiency

Revenue GrowthGrowth
-2.2%2/10

Revenue declined 2.2%

Free Cash FlowQuality
$-57.40M2/10

Negative free cash flow — burning cash

PKG3 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
1.634/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
1/93/10

Weak financial health signals

EPS GrowthGrowth
-56.5%2/10

Earnings declined 56.5%

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : GEF-B

The strongest argument for GEF-B centers on Profit Margin, PEG Ratio, Price/Book. Profitability is solid with margins at 25.0% and operating margin at 5.7%. PEG of 0.67 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bull Case : PKG

Revenue growth of 10.1% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bear Case : GEF-B

The primary concerns for GEF-B are Return on Equity, Revenue Growth, Free Cash Flow.

Bear Case : PKG

The primary concerns for PKG are PEG Ratio, Piotroski F-Score, EPS Growth.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

GEF-B profiles as a declining stock while PKG is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.

GEF-B carries more volatility with a beta of 0.92 — expect wider price swings.

PKG is growing revenue faster at 10.1% — sustainability is the question.

PKG generates stronger free cash flow (128M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

GEF-B scores higher overall (64/100 vs 54/100), backed by strong 25.0% margins. Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Greif Inc

CONSUMER CYCLICAL · PACKAGING & CONTAINERS · USA

Greif, Inc. produces and sells industrial packaging products and services worldwide. The company is headquartered in Delaware, Ohio.

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Packaging Corp of America

CONSUMER CYCLICAL · PACKAGING & CONTAINERS · USA

Packaging Corporation of America is an American manufacturing company based in Lake Forest, Illinois.

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