WallStSmart

Krispy Kreme Inc (DNUT)vsGrocery Outlet Holding Corp (GO)

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Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Grocery Outlet Holding Corp generates 224% more annual revenue ($4.74B vs $1.47B). DNUT leads profitability with a -6.2% profit margin vs -8.0%. GO earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 43/100 (D).

DNUT

Hold

35

out of 100

Grade: F

Growth: 2.7Profit: 2.0Value: 6.7Quality: 4.0
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: -0.38

GO

Hold

43

out of 100

Grade: D

Growth: 5.3Profit: 3.0Value: 6.7Quality: 4.5
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 1.69
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

DNUTUndervalued (+51.4%)

Margin of Safety

+51.4%

Fair Value

$6.21

Current Price

$3.02

$3.19 discount

UndervaluedFair: $6.21Overvalued
GOUndervalued (+58.2%)

Margin of Safety

+58.2%

Fair Value

$23.43

Current Price

$12.87

$10.56 discount

UndervaluedFair: $23.43Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

DNUT1 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
Price/BookValuation
0.8x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

GO1 strengths · Avg: 8.0/10
Price/BookValuation
1.6x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Areas to Watch

DNUT4 concerns · Avg: 2.8/10
EPS GrowthGrowth
0.0%4/10

0.0% earnings growth

Market CapQuality
$522.24M3/10

Smaller company, higher risk/reward

Return on EquityProfitability
-15.5%2/10

ROE of -15.5% — below average capital efficiency

Revenue GrowthGrowth
-12.8%2/10

Revenue declined 12.8%

GO4 concerns · Avg: 3.5/10
Revenue GrowthGrowth
1.1%4/10

1.1% revenue growth

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.694/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

Market CapQuality
$1.13B3/10

Smaller company, higher risk/reward

Operating MarginProfitability
1.8%3/10

Operating margin of 1.8%

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : DNUT

The strongest argument for DNUT centers on Price/Book.

Bull Case : GO

The strongest argument for GO centers on Price/Book.

Bear Case : DNUT

The primary concerns for DNUT are EPS Growth, Market Cap, Return on Equity.

Bear Case : GO

The primary concerns for GO are Revenue Growth, Altman Z-Score, Market Cap. Debt-to-equity of 2.27 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

DNUT carries more volatility with a beta of 1.25 — expect wider price swings.

GO is growing revenue faster at 1.1% — sustainability is the question.

GO generates stronger free cash flow (1M), providing more financial flexibility.

Monitor GROCERY STORES industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.

Bottom Line

GO scores higher overall (43/100 vs 35/100). DNUT offers better value entry with a 51.4% margin of safety. Both earn "Hold" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Krispy Kreme Inc

CONSUMER DEFENSIVE · GROCERY STORES · USA

Krispy Kreme, Inc., is a brand-name retailer and wholesaler of donuts, coffee and other packaged complementary drinks, treats, and candies. The company is headquartered in Winston-Salem, North Carolina.

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Grocery Outlet Holding Corp

CONSUMER DEFENSIVE · GROCERY STORES · USA

Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. The company is headquartered in Emeryville, California.

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