Dollar Tree Inc (DLTR)vsThe J. M. Smucker Company (SJM)
DLTR
Dollar Tree Inc
$118.17
-0.41%
CONSUMER DEFENSIVE · Cap: $24.66B
SJM
The J. M. Smucker Company
$121.14
+0.06%
CONSUMER DEFENSIVE · Cap: $13.32B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Dollar Tree Inc generates 119% more annual revenue ($20.07B vs $9.16B). DLTR leads profitability with a 8.0% profit margin vs 2.5%. DLTR appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.64. DLTR earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 63/100 (C+).
DLTR
Buy63
out of 100
Grade: C+
SJM
Buy51
out of 100
Grade: C-
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+19.9%
Fair Value
$156.08
Current Price
$118.17
$37.91 discount
Margin of Safety
+14.2%
Fair Value
$129.41
Current Price
$121.14
$8.27 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Every $100 of equity generates 47 in profit
Earnings expanding 197.2% YoY
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Reasonable price relative to book value
Areas to Watch
Expensive relative to growth rate
Elevated debt levels
Expensive relative to growth rate
2.5% margin — thin
Elevated debt levels
Premium valuation, high expectations priced in
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : DLTR
The strongest argument for DLTR centers on Return on Equity, EPS Growth, P/E Ratio.
Bull Case : SJM
The strongest argument for SJM centers on Price/Book.
Bear Case : DLTR
The primary concerns for DLTR are PEG Ratio, Debt/Equity. Debt-to-equity of 2.24 is elevated, increasing financial risk.
Bear Case : SJM
The primary concerns for SJM are PEG Ratio, Profit Margin, Debt/Equity. A P/E of 58.3x leaves little room for execution misses. Thin 2.5% margins leave little buffer for downturns.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
DLTR carries more volatility with a beta of 0.66 — expect wider price swings.
DLTR is growing revenue faster at 7.0% — sustainability is the question.
DLTR generates stronger free cash flow (676M), providing more financial flexibility.
Monitor DISCOUNT STORES industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.
Bottom Line
DLTR scores higher overall (63/100 vs 51/100). Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Dollar Tree Inc
CONSUMER DEFENSIVE · DISCOUNT STORES · USA
Dollar Tree is an American chain of discount variety stores that sells items for $1 or less, headquartered in Chesapeake, Virginia.
Visit Website →The J. M. Smucker Company
CONSUMER DEFENSIVE · PACKAGED FOODS · USA
The J. M. Smucker Company, also known as Smucker and Smucker's, is an American manufacturer of jam, peanut butter, jelly, fruit syrups, beverages, shortening, ice cream toppings, and other products in North America. Smucker's headquarters are located in Orrville, Ohio.
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