WallStSmart

Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. (CVLG)vsOshkosh Corporation (OSK)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Oshkosh Corporation generates 795% more annual revenue ($10.42B vs $1.16B). OSK leads profitability with a 6.2% profit margin vs 0.6%. OSK trades at a lower P/E of 14.7x. OSK earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 48/100 (D+).

CVLG

Hold

41

out of 100

Grade: D

Growth: 3.3Profit: 3.5Value: 5.0Quality: 4.8
Piotroski: 2/9

OSK

Hold

48

out of 100

Grade: D+

Growth: 3.3Profit: 5.5Value: 6.7Quality: 6.5
Piotroski: 2/9Altman Z: 2.82
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

CVLGUndervalued (+27.9%)

Margin of Safety

+27.9%

Fair Value

$40.60

Current Price

$34.92

$5.68 discount

UndervaluedFair: $40.60Overvalued
OSKUndervalued (+32.8%)

Margin of Safety

+32.8%

Fair Value

$259.60

Current Price

$147.37

$112.23 discount

UndervaluedFair: $259.60Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

CVLG1 strengths · Avg: 8.0/10
Price/BookValuation
2.2x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

OSK2 strengths · Avg: 8.0/10
P/E RatioValuation
14.7x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Price/BookValuation
2.0x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Areas to Watch

CVLG4 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
Market CapQuality
$777.86M3/10

Smaller company, higher risk/reward

Return on EquityProfitability
1.1%3/10

ROE of 1.1% — below average capital efficiency

Profit MarginProfitability
0.6%3/10

0.6% margin — thin

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
2/93/10

Weak financial health signals

OSK4 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
Revenue GrowthGrowth
3.5%4/10

3.5% revenue growth

Profit MarginProfitability
6.2%3/10

6.2% margin — thin

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
2/93/10

Weak financial health signals

PEG RatioValuation
6.512/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : CVLG

The strongest argument for CVLG centers on Price/Book.

Bull Case : OSK

The strongest argument for OSK centers on P/E Ratio, Price/Book.

Bear Case : CVLG

The primary concerns for CVLG are Market Cap, Return on Equity, Profit Margin. A P/E of 193.8x leaves little room for execution misses. Thin 0.6% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Bear Case : OSK

The primary concerns for OSK are Revenue Growth, Profit Margin, Piotroski F-Score.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

OSK carries more volatility with a beta of 1.39 — expect wider price swings.

CVLG is growing revenue faster at 6.5% — sustainability is the question.

OSK generates stronger free cash flow (526M), providing more financial flexibility.

Monitor TRUCKING industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.

Bottom Line

OSK scores higher overall (48/100 vs 41/100). CVLG offers better value entry with a 27.9% margin of safety. Both earn "Hold" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Covenant Logistics Group, Inc.

INDUSTRIALS · TRUCKING · USA

Covenant Logistics Group, Inc., provides transportation and logistics services in the United States. The company is headquartered in Chattanooga, Tennessee.

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Oshkosh Corporation

INDUSTRIALS · FARM & HEAVY CONSTRUCTION MACHINERY · USA

Oshkosh Corporation designs, manufactures and markets specialty vehicles and bodies worldwide. The company is headquartered in Oshkosh, Wisconsin.

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