WallStSmart

Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. (CVLG)vsOld Dominion Freight Line Inc (ODFL)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Old Dominion Freight Line Inc generates 355% more annual revenue ($5.60B vs $1.23B). ODFL leads profitability with a 19.4% profit margin vs 0.3%. ODFL trades at a lower P/E of 36.0x. ODFL earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 67/100 (B-).

CVLG

Hold

39

out of 100

Grade: F

Growth: 3.3Profit: 4.0Value: 3.0Quality: 5.0
Piotroski: 2/9Altman Z: 1.95

ODFL

Strong Buy

67

out of 100

Grade: B-

Growth: 6.0Profit: 9.0Value: 3.3Quality: 8.0
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 4.87
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

CVLGSignificantly Overvalued (-34.6%)

Margin of Safety

-34.6%

Fair Value

$21.74

Current Price

$34.00

$12.26 premium

UndervaluedFair: $21.74Overvalued
ODFLSignificantly Overvalued (-21.6%)

Margin of Safety

-21.6%

Fair Value

$143.37

Current Price

$173.00

$29.63 premium

UndervaluedFair: $143.37Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

CVLG1 strengths · Avg: 8.0/10
Price/BookValuation
2.1x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

ODFL5 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
Debt/EquityHealth
0.0010/10

Conservative balance sheet, low leverage

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
4.8710/10

Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk

Return on EquityProfitability
23.9%9/10

Every $100 of equity generates 24 in profit

Operating MarginProfitability
28.8%8/10

Strong operational efficiency at 28.8%

EPS GrowthGrowth
32.3%8/10

Earnings expanding 32.3% YoY

Areas to Watch

CVLG4 concerns · Avg: 3.3/10
Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.954/10

Grey zone — moderate risk

Market CapQuality
$904.21M3/10

Smaller company, higher risk/reward

Return on EquityProfitability
0.9%3/10

ROE of 0.9% — below average capital efficiency

Profit MarginProfitability
0.3%3/10

0.3% margin — thin

ODFL2 concerns · Avg: 4.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
2.324/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

P/E RatioValuation
36.0x4/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : CVLG

The strongest argument for CVLG centers on Price/Book.

Bull Case : ODFL

The strongest argument for ODFL centers on Debt/Equity, Altman Z-Score, Return on Equity. Profitability is solid with margins at 19.4% and operating margin at 28.8%. Revenue growth of 10.4% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bear Case : CVLG

The primary concerns for CVLG are Altman Z-Score, Market Cap, Return on Equity. A P/E of 712.6x leaves little room for execution misses. Thin 0.3% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Bear Case : ODFL

The primary concerns for ODFL are PEG Ratio, P/E Ratio.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

CVLG profiles as a value stock while ODFL is a mature play — different risk/reward profiles.

CVLG carries more volatility with a beta of 1.30 — expect wider price swings.

ODFL is growing revenue faster at 10.4% — sustainability is the question.

ODFL generates stronger free cash flow (196M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

ODFL scores higher overall (67/100 vs 39/100), backed by strong 19.4% margins and 10.4% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Covenant Logistics Group, Inc.

INDUSTRIALS · TRUCKING · USA

Covenant Logistics Group, Inc., provides transportation and logistics services in the United States. The company is headquartered in Chattanooga, Tennessee.

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Old Dominion Freight Line Inc

INDUSTRIALS · TRUCKING · USA

Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. is an American less than truckload shipping (LTL) company. It offers regional, inter-regional and national LTL service. In addition to its core LTL services, the company offers logistics services including ground and air expedited transportation, supply chain consulting, transportation management, truckload brokerage, container delivery and warehousing, as well as household moving services.

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