CNH Industrial N.V. (CNH)vsGeo Group Inc (GEO)
CNH
CNH Industrial N.V.
$10.75
-0.92%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $13.32B
GEO
Geo Group Inc
$25.31
+0.64%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $3.80B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
CNH Industrial N.V. generates 562% more annual revenue ($18.09B vs $2.73B). GEO leads profitability with a 10.0% profit margin vs 2.1%. CNH appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.61. GEO earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 69/100 (B-).
CNH
Buy51
out of 100
Grade: C-
GEO
Strong Buy69
out of 100
Grade: B-
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Intrinsic value data unavailable for CNH.
Margin of Safety
+66.9%
Fair Value
$47.81
Current Price
$25.31
$22.50 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Growing faster than its price suggests
Reasonable price relative to book value
Earnings expanding 106.5% YoY
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Reasonable price relative to book value
16.6% revenue growth
Areas to Watch
Premium valuation, high expectations priced in
Grey zone — moderate risk
ROE of 5.0% — below average capital efficiency
2.1% margin — thin
Expensive relative to growth rate
Distress zone — elevated risk
Elevated debt levels
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : CNH
The strongest argument for CNH centers on PEG Ratio, Price/Book. PEG of 0.61 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bull Case : GEO
The strongest argument for GEO centers on EPS Growth, P/E Ratio, Price/Book. Revenue growth of 16.6% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bear Case : CNH
The primary concerns for CNH are P/E Ratio, Altman Z-Score, Return on Equity. Debt-to-equity of 3.37 is elevated, increasing financial risk. Thin 2.1% margins leave little buffer for downturns.
Bear Case : GEO
The primary concerns for GEO are PEG Ratio, Altman Z-Score, Debt/Equity.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
CNH profiles as a value stock while GEO is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.
CNH carries more volatility with a beta of 1.23 — expect wider price swings.
GEO is growing revenue faster at 16.6% — sustainability is the question.
GEO generates stronger free cash flow (135M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
GEO scores higher overall (69/100 vs 51/100) and 16.6% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
CNH Industrial N.V.
INDUSTRIALS · FARM & HEAVY CONSTRUCTION MACHINERY · USA
CNH Industrial N.V., an equipment and services company, engages in the design, production, marketing, sale, and financing of agricultural and construction equipment in North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, South America, and the Asia Pacific. The company is headquartered in Basildon, the United Kingdom.
Geo Group Inc
INDUSTRIALS · SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES · USA
The GEO Group (NYSE: GEO) is the first fully integrated capital real estate investment trust specializing in the design, financing, development and operation of secure facilities, processing centers and community re-entry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom.
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