WallStSmart

Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc (CMG)vsYum China Holdings Inc (YUMC)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc generates 1% more annual revenue ($11.93B vs $11.80B). CMG leads profitability with a 12.9% profit margin vs 7.9%. YUMC appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.34. YUMC earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 64/100 (C+).

CMG

Buy

56

out of 100

Grade: C

Growth: 5.3Profit: 8.0Value: 7.3Quality: 5.0
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 2.47

YUMC

Buy

64

out of 100

Grade: C+

Growth: 7.3Profit: 6.0Value: 10.0Quality: 7.0
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 2.54
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

CMGSignificantly Overvalued (-147.3%)

Margin of Safety

-147.3%

Fair Value

$15.05

Current Price

$33.37

$18.32 premium

UndervaluedFair: $15.05Overvalued
YUMCUndervalued (+52.2%)

Margin of Safety

+52.2%

Fair Value

$117.47

Current Price

$51.74

$65.73 discount

UndervaluedFair: $117.47Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

CMG1 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
Return on EquityProfitability
47.4%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 47 in profit

YUMC1 strengths · Avg: 8.0/10
EPS GrowthGrowth
34.3%8/10

Earnings expanding 34.3% YoY

Areas to Watch

CMG4 concerns · Avg: 4.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
1.734/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

P/E RatioValuation
29.3x4/10

Moderate valuation

Price/BookValuation
15.4x4/10

Trading at 15.4x book value

Revenue GrowthGrowth
4.9%4/10

4.9% revenue growth

YUMC2 concerns · Avg: 2.5/10
Profit MarginProfitability
7.9%3/10

7.9% margin — thin

Free Cash FlowQuality
$-112.93M2/10

Negative free cash flow — burning cash

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : CMG

The strongest argument for CMG centers on Return on Equity.

Bull Case : YUMC

The strongest argument for YUMC centers on EPS Growth. PEG of 1.34 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : CMG

The primary concerns for CMG are PEG Ratio, P/E Ratio, Price/Book. Debt-to-equity of 3.48 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Bear Case : YUMC

The primary concerns for YUMC are Profit Margin, Free Cash Flow.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

CMG carries more volatility with a beta of 1.02 — expect wider price swings.

YUMC is growing revenue faster at 8.8% — sustainability is the question.

CMG generates stronger free cash flow (228M), providing more financial flexibility.

Monitor RESTAURANTS industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.

Bottom Line

YUMC scores higher overall (64/100 vs 56/100). Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc

CONSUMER CYCLICAL · RESTAURANTS · USA

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc., often known simply as Chipotle, is an American chain of fast casual restaurants in the United States, United Kingdom, Canada, Germany, and France, specializing in tacos and Mission burritos that are made to order in front of the customer.

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Yum China Holdings Inc

CONSUMER CYCLICAL · RESTAURANTS · USA

Yum China Holdings, Inc. owns, operates and franchises restaurants in China. The company is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

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