Churchill Downs Incorporated (CHDN)vsMercadoLibre Inc. (MELI)
CHDN
Churchill Downs Incorporated
$81.95
+0.53%
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · Cap: $5.69B
MELI
MercadoLibre Inc.
$1,673.09
-0.44%
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · Cap: $92.98B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
MercadoLibre Inc. generates 1076% more annual revenue ($35.18B vs $2.99B). CHDN leads profitability with a 13.8% profit margin vs 5.3%. MELI appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.00. CHDN earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 68/100 (B-).
CHDN
Strong Buy68
out of 100
Grade: B-
MELI
Buy58
out of 100
Grade: C
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+70.8%
Fair Value
$324.32
Current Price
$81.95
$242.37 discount
Margin of Safety
+64.4%
Fair Value
$5665.85
Current Price
$1673.09
$3992.76 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Every $100 of equity generates 35 in profit
Strong operational efficiency at 36.5%
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Revenue surging 49.8% year-over-year
Large-cap with strong market position
Every $100 of equity generates 24 in profit
Growing faster than its price suggests
Generating 3.2B in free cash flow
Areas to Watch
Expensive relative to growth rate
4.9% revenue growth
Distress zone — elevated risk
Elevated debt levels
Trading at 10.8x book value
5.3% margin — thin
Elevated debt levels
Weak financial health signals
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : CHDN
The strongest argument for CHDN centers on Return on Equity, Operating Margin, P/E Ratio.
Bull Case : MELI
The strongest argument for MELI centers on Revenue Growth, Market Cap, Return on Equity. Revenue growth of 49.8% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 1.00 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bear Case : CHDN
The primary concerns for CHDN are PEG Ratio, Revenue Growth, Altman Z-Score. Debt-to-equity of 3.57 is elevated, increasing financial risk.
Bear Case : MELI
The primary concerns for MELI are Price/Book, Profit Margin, Debt/Equity. A P/E of 50.5x leaves little room for execution misses. Debt-to-equity of 1.68 is elevated, increasing financial risk.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
CHDN profiles as a value stock while MELI is a hypergrowth play — different risk/reward profiles.
MELI carries more volatility with a beta of 1.31 — expect wider price swings.
MELI is growing revenue faster at 49.8% — sustainability is the question.
MELI generates stronger free cash flow (3.2B), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
CHDN scores higher overall (68/100 vs 58/100). MELI offers better value entry with a 64.4% margin of safety. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Churchill Downs Incorporated
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · GAMBLING · USA
Churchill Downs Incorporated is a gaming, online betting and racing entertainment company in the United States. The company is headquartered in Louisville, Kentucky.
Visit Website →MercadoLibre Inc.
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · INTERNET RETAIL · USA
MercadoLibre, Inc. operates online trading platforms in Latin America. The company is headquartered in Buenos Aires, Argentina.
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