Churchill Downs Incorporated (CHDN)vsSGHC Limited (SGHC)
CHDN
Churchill Downs Incorporated
$81.95
+0.53%
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · Cap: $5.69B
SGHC
SGHC Limited
$10.51
-0.38%
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · Cap: $5.72B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Churchill Downs Incorporated generates 23% more annual revenue ($2.99B vs $2.43B). SGHC leads profitability with a 15.1% profit margin vs 13.8%. CHDN trades at a lower P/E of 13.9x. CHDN earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 68/100 (B-).
CHDN
Strong Buy68
out of 100
Grade: B-
SGHC
Buy60
out of 100
Grade: C+
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+70.8%
Fair Value
$324.32
Current Price
$81.95
$242.37 discount
Margin of Safety
-44.5%
Fair Value
$7.30
Current Price
$10.51
$3.21 premium
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Every $100 of equity generates 35 in profit
Strong operational efficiency at 36.5%
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Every $100 of equity generates 32 in profit
Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk
Conservative balance sheet, low leverage
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Strong operational efficiency at 25.2%
18.1% revenue growth
Areas to Watch
Expensive relative to growth rate
4.9% revenue growth
Distress zone — elevated risk
Elevated debt levels
No major concerns identified
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : CHDN
The strongest argument for CHDN centers on Return on Equity, Operating Margin, P/E Ratio.
Bull Case : SGHC
The strongest argument for SGHC centers on Return on Equity, Altman Z-Score, Debt/Equity. Profitability is solid with margins at 15.1% and operating margin at 25.2%. Revenue growth of 18.1% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bear Case : CHDN
The primary concerns for CHDN are PEG Ratio, Revenue Growth, Altman Z-Score. Debt-to-equity of 3.57 is elevated, increasing financial risk.
Bear Case : SGHC
No major red flags identified for SGHC, but monitor valuation.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
CHDN profiles as a value stock while SGHC is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.
SGHC carries more volatility with a beta of 1.12 — expect wider price swings.
SGHC is growing revenue faster at 18.1% — sustainability is the question.
SGHC generates stronger free cash flow (164M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
CHDN scores higher overall (68/100 vs 60/100). Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Churchill Downs Incorporated
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · GAMBLING · USA
Churchill Downs Incorporated is a gaming, online betting and racing entertainment company in the United States. The company is headquartered in Louisville, Kentucky.
Visit Website →SGHC Limited
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · GAMBLING · USA
Super Group (SGHC) Limited is an online sports betting and gaming operator. The company is headquartered in Saint Peter Port, Guernsey.
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