WallStSmart

Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc (BXMT)vsAnnaly Capital Management, Inc. (NLY)

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Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Annaly Capital Management, Inc. generates 853% more annual revenue ($1.39B vs $146.10M). NLY leads profitability with a 80.3% profit margin vs -256.7%. NLY appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 32.03. NLY earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 73/100 (B).

BXMT

Hold

42

out of 100

Grade: D

Growth: 4.0Profit: 4.5Value: 3.3Quality: 2.5
Piotroski: 3/9Altman Z: -0.33

NLY

Strong Buy

73

out of 100

Grade: B

Growth: 9.3Profit: 7.0Value: 5.0Quality: 2.5
Piotroski: 3/9Altman Z: -0.56
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

BXMTUndervalued (+12.0%)

Margin of Safety

+12.0%

Fair Value

$22.75

Current Price

$11.16

$11.59 discount

UndervaluedFair: $22.75Overvalued

Intrinsic value data unavailable for NLY.

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

BXMT2 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
Price/BookValuation
0.5x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Operating MarginProfitability
188.5%10/10

Strong operational efficiency at 188.5%

NLY6 strengths · Avg: 9.7/10
Price/BookValuation
1.0x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Profit MarginProfitability
80.3%10/10

Keeps 80 of every $100 in revenue as profit

Operating MarginProfitability
107.3%10/10

Strong operational efficiency at 107.3%

Revenue GrowthGrowth
479.4%10/10

Revenue surging 479.4% year-over-year

EPS GrowthGrowth
3426.0%10/10

Earnings expanding 3426.0% YoY

P/E RatioValuation
12.7x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Areas to Watch

BXMT4 concerns · Avg: 2.8/10
Market CapQuality
$1.83B3/10

Smaller company, higher risk/reward

Return on EquityProfitability
3.0%3/10

ROE of 3.0% — below average capital efficiency

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
3/93/10

Weak financial health signals

PEG RatioValuation
254.802/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

NLY4 concerns · Avg: 2.5/10
Return on EquityProfitability
7.2%3/10

ROE of 7.2% — below average capital efficiency

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
3/93/10

Weak financial health signals

PEG RatioValuation
32.032/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
-0.562/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : BXMT

The strongest argument for BXMT centers on Price/Book, Operating Margin.

Bull Case : NLY

The strongest argument for NLY centers on Price/Book, Profit Margin, Operating Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 80.3% and operating margin at 107.3%. Revenue growth of 479.4% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bear Case : BXMT

The primary concerns for BXMT are Market Cap, Return on Equity, Piotroski F-Score. A P/E of 135.9x leaves little room for execution misses. Debt-to-equity of 4.85 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Bear Case : NLY

The primary concerns for NLY are Return on Equity, Piotroski F-Score, PEG Ratio. Debt-to-equity of 8.04 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

BXMT profiles as a turnaround stock while NLY is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.

NLY carries more volatility with a beta of 1.28 — expect wider price swings.

NLY is growing revenue faster at 479.4% — sustainability is the question.

NLY generates stronger free cash flow (2.7B), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

NLY scores higher overall (73/100 vs 42/100), backed by strong 80.3% margins and 479.4% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc

REAL ESTATE · REIT - MORTGAGE · USA

Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc., a real estate financing company, originates senior secured commercial property loans in North America, Europe and Australia. The company is headquartered in New York, New York.

Annaly Capital Management, Inc.

REAL ESTATE · REIT - MORTGAGE · USA

Annaly Capital Management, Inc., a diversified capital manager, invests in and finances residential and commercial assets. The company is headquartered in New York, New York.

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