Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc (BXMT)vsAnnaly Capital Management, Inc. (NLY)
BXMT
Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc
$14.15
+2.24%
REAL ESTATE · Cap: $2.45B
NLY
Annaly Capital Management, Inc.
$23.04
+1.68%
REAL ESTATE · Cap: $17.12B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Annaly Capital Management, Inc. generates 708% more annual revenue ($3.25B vs $402.59M). NLY leads profitability with a 90.7% profit margin vs 3.8%. NLY appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 32.03. NLY earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 77/100 (B+).
BXMT
Hold38
out of 100
Grade: F
NLY
Strong Buy77
out of 100
Grade: B+
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+69.0%
Fair Value
$64.51
Current Price
$14.15
$50.36 discount
Margin of Safety
-8.7%
Fair Value
$20.99
Current Price
$23.04
$2.05 premium
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Reasonable price relative to book value
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Reasonable price relative to book value
Keeps 91 of every $100 in revenue as profit
Strong operational efficiency at 91.6%
Revenue surging 479.4% year-over-year
Earnings expanding 3426.0% YoY
Areas to Watch
ROE of 3.0% — below average capital efficiency
3.8% margin — thin
Weak financial health signals
Expensive relative to growth rate
Weak financial health signals
Expensive relative to growth rate
Negative free cash flow — burning cash
Distress zone — elevated risk
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : BXMT
The strongest argument for BXMT centers on Price/Book.
Bull Case : NLY
The strongest argument for NLY centers on P/E Ratio, Price/Book, Profit Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 90.7% and operating margin at 91.6%. Revenue growth of 479.4% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bear Case : BXMT
The primary concerns for BXMT are Return on Equity, Profit Margin, Piotroski F-Score. A P/E of 181.8x leaves little room for execution misses. Debt-to-equity of 4.65 is elevated, increasing financial risk.
Bear Case : NLY
The primary concerns for NLY are Piotroski F-Score, PEG Ratio, Free Cash Flow. Debt-to-equity of 7.38 is elevated, increasing financial risk.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
BXMT profiles as a value stock while NLY is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.
NLY carries more volatility with a beta of 1.24 — expect wider price swings.
NLY is growing revenue faster at 479.4% — sustainability is the question.
BXMT generates stronger free cash flow (159M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
NLY scores higher overall (77/100 vs 38/100), backed by strong 90.7% margins and 479.4% revenue growth. BXMT offers better value entry with a 69.0% margin of safety. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc
REAL ESTATE · REIT - MORTGAGE · USA
Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc., a real estate financing company, originates senior secured commercial property loans in North America, Europe and Australia. The company is headquartered in New York, New York.
Annaly Capital Management, Inc.
REAL ESTATE · REIT - MORTGAGE · USA
Annaly Capital Management, Inc., a diversified capital manager, invests in and finances residential and commercial assets. The company is headquartered in New York, New York.
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