AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNCP)vsBlackstone Mortgage Trust Inc (BXMT)
AGNCP
AGNC Investment Corp.
$24.97
-0.04%
REAL ESTATE · Cap: $6.46B
BXMT
Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc
$19.13
-0.10%
REAL ESTATE · Cap: $3.23B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
AGNC Investment Corp. generates 244% more annual revenue ($1.60B vs $466.96M). AGNCP leads profitability with a 91.7% profit margin vs 22.2%. AGNCP earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 62/100 (C+).
AGNCP
Buy62
out of 100
Grade: C+
BXMT
Buy56
out of 100
Grade: C
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+18.8%
Fair Value
$30.87
Current Price
$24.97
$5.90 discount
Margin of Safety
+74.7%
Fair Value
$79.16
Current Price
$19.13
$60.03 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Keeps 92 of every $100 in revenue as profit
Strong operational efficiency at 129.8%
Revenue surging 546.0% year-over-year
Earnings expanding 772.0% YoY
Reasonable price relative to book value
Reasonable price relative to book value
Revenue surging 34.9% year-over-year
Keeps 22 of every $100 in revenue as profit
Areas to Watch
Weak financial health signals
Distress zone — elevated risk
Elevated debt levels
Premium valuation, high expectations priced in
ROE of 2.9% — below average capital efficiency
Expensive relative to growth rate
Distress zone — elevated risk
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : AGNCP
The strongest argument for AGNCP centers on Profit Margin, Operating Margin, Revenue Growth. Profitability is solid with margins at 91.7% and operating margin at 129.8%. Revenue growth of 546.0% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bull Case : BXMT
The strongest argument for BXMT centers on Price/Book, Revenue Growth, Profit Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 22.2% and operating margin at -6.1%. Revenue growth of 34.9% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bear Case : AGNCP
The primary concerns for AGNCP are Piotroski F-Score, Altman Z-Score, Debt/Equity. Debt-to-equity of 8.21 is elevated, increasing financial risk.
Bear Case : BXMT
The primary concerns for BXMT are P/E Ratio, Return on Equity, PEG Ratio.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
AGNCP carries more volatility with a beta of 1.33 — expect wider price swings.
AGNCP is growing revenue faster at 546.0% — sustainability is the question.
AGNCP generates stronger free cash flow (387M), providing more financial flexibility.
Monitor REIT - MORTGAGE industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.
Bottom Line
AGNCP scores higher overall (62/100 vs 56/100), backed by strong 91.7% margins and 546.0% revenue growth. BXMT offers better value entry with a 74.7% margin of safety. Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
AGNC Investment Corp.
REAL ESTATE · REIT - MORTGAGE · USA
AGNC Investment Corp. The company is headquartered in Bethesda, Maryland.
Visit Website →Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc
REAL ESTATE · REIT - MORTGAGE · USA
Blackstone Mortgage Trust, Inc., a real estate financing company, originates senior secured commercial property loans in North America, Europe and Australia. The company is headquartered in New York, New York.
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