WallStSmart

BHP Group Limited (BHP)vsThe Mosaic Company (MOS)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

BHP Group Limited generates 348% more annual revenue ($53.99B vs $12.05B). BHP leads profitability with a 19.0% profit margin vs 4.5%. MOS appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.63. BHP earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 65/100 (C+).

BHP

Buy

65

out of 100

Grade: C+

Growth: 5.3Profit: 8.5Value: 3.3Quality: 5.0

MOS

Buy

62

out of 100

Grade: C+

Growth: 6.0Profit: 4.0Value: 7.3Quality: 6.5
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 2.22
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

BHPSignificantly Overvalued (-84.5%)

Margin of Safety

-84.5%

Fair Value

$43.18

Current Price

$79.30

$36.12 premium

UndervaluedFair: $43.18Overvalued
MOSUndervalued (+62.8%)

Margin of Safety

+62.8%

Fair Value

$83.69

Current Price

$23.03

$60.66 discount

UndervaluedFair: $83.69Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

BHP5 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
Market CapQuality
$201.45B10/10

Mega-cap, among the largest globally

Operating MarginProfitability
40.7%10/10

Strong operational efficiency at 40.7%

Return on EquityProfitability
24.7%9/10

Every $100 of equity generates 25 in profit

EPS GrowthGrowth
27.5%8/10

Earnings expanding 27.5% YoY

Free Cash FlowQuality
$4.31B8/10

Generating 4.3B in free cash flow

MOS3 strengths · Avg: 9.3/10
Price/BookValuation
0.6x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

EPS GrowthGrowth
239.5%10/10

Earnings expanding 239.5% YoY

P/E RatioValuation
13.6x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Areas to Watch

BHP1 concerns · Avg: 2.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
5.952/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

MOS4 concerns · Avg: 3.3/10
PEG RatioValuation
1.634/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Return on EquityProfitability
4.8%3/10

ROE of 4.8% — below average capital efficiency

Profit MarginProfitability
4.5%3/10

4.5% margin — thin

Operating MarginProfitability
2.8%3/10

Operating margin of 2.8%

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : BHP

The strongest argument for BHP centers on Market Cap, Operating Margin, Return on Equity. Profitability is solid with margins at 19.0% and operating margin at 40.7%. Revenue growth of 10.8% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : MOS

The strongest argument for MOS centers on Price/Book, EPS Growth, P/E Ratio.

Bear Case : BHP

The primary concerns for BHP are PEG Ratio.

Bear Case : MOS

The primary concerns for MOS are PEG Ratio, Return on Equity, Profit Margin. Thin 4.5% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

BHP profiles as a mature stock while MOS is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.

MOS carries more volatility with a beta of 0.96 — expect wider price swings.

BHP is growing revenue faster at 10.8% — sustainability is the question.

BHP generates stronger free cash flow (4.3B), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

BHP scores higher overall (65/100 vs 62/100), backed by strong 19.0% margins and 10.8% revenue growth. MOS offers better value entry with a 62.8% margin of safety. Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

BHP Group Limited

BASIC MATERIALS · OTHER INDUSTRIAL METALS & MINING · USA

BHP Group engages in the natural resources business in Australia, Europe, China, Japan, India, South Korea, the rest of Asia, North America, South America and internationally. The company is headquartered in Melbourne, Australia.

The Mosaic Company

BASIC MATERIALS · AGRICULTURAL INPUTS · USA

The Mosaic Company is a Fortune 500 company based in Tampa, Florida which mines phosphate and potash, and operates through segments such as international distribution and Mosaic Fertilizantes.

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