WallStSmart

BHP Group Limited (BHP)vsCF Industries Holdings Inc (CF)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

BHP Group Limited generates 662% more annual revenue ($53.99B vs $7.08B). CF leads profitability with a 20.5% profit margin vs 19.0%. CF appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 4.05. CF earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 76/100 (B+).

BHP

Buy

65

out of 100

Grade: C+

Growth: 5.3Profit: 8.5Value: 3.3Quality: 5.0

CF

Strong Buy

76

out of 100

Grade: B+

Growth: 6.7Profit: 8.5Value: 6.7Quality: 7.8
Piotroski: 6/9
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

BHPSignificantly Overvalued (-84.5%)

Margin of Safety

-84.5%

Fair Value

$43.18

Current Price

$79.30

$36.12 premium

UndervaluedFair: $43.18Overvalued
CFUndervalued (+57.5%)

Margin of Safety

+57.5%

Fair Value

$228.09

Current Price

$126.78

$101.31 discount

UndervaluedFair: $228.09Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

BHP5 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
Market CapQuality
$202.77B10/10

Mega-cap, among the largest globally

Operating MarginProfitability
40.7%10/10

Strong operational efficiency at 40.7%

Return on EquityProfitability
24.7%9/10

Every $100 of equity generates 25 in profit

EPS GrowthGrowth
27.5%8/10

Earnings expanding 27.5% YoY

Free Cash FlowQuality
$4.31B8/10

Generating 4.3B in free cash flow

CF6 strengths · Avg: 8.7/10
Operating MarginProfitability
35.3%10/10

Strong operational efficiency at 35.3%

Return on EquityProfitability
23.4%9/10

Every $100 of equity generates 23 in profit

Profit MarginProfitability
20.5%9/10

Keeps 21 of every $100 in revenue as profit

P/E RatioValuation
14.1x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Revenue GrowthGrowth
22.8%8/10

Revenue surging 22.8% year-over-year

EPS GrowthGrowth
37.1%8/10

Earnings expanding 37.1% YoY

Areas to Watch

BHP1 concerns · Avg: 2.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
5.952/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

CF1 concerns · Avg: 2.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
4.052/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : BHP

The strongest argument for BHP centers on Market Cap, Operating Margin, Return on Equity. Profitability is solid with margins at 19.0% and operating margin at 40.7%. Revenue growth of 10.8% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : CF

The strongest argument for CF centers on Operating Margin, Return on Equity, Profit Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 20.5% and operating margin at 35.3%. Revenue growth of 22.8% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bear Case : BHP

The primary concerns for BHP are PEG Ratio.

Bear Case : CF

The primary concerns for CF are PEG Ratio.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

BHP profiles as a mature stock while CF is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.

BHP carries more volatility with a beta of 0.80 — expect wider price swings.

CF is growing revenue faster at 22.8% — sustainability is the question.

BHP generates stronger free cash flow (4.3B), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

CF scores higher overall (76/100 vs 65/100), backed by strong 20.5% margins and 22.8% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

BHP Group Limited

BASIC MATERIALS · OTHER INDUSTRIAL METALS & MINING · USA

BHP Group engages in the natural resources business in Australia, Europe, China, Japan, India, South Korea, the rest of Asia, North America, South America and internationally. The company is headquartered in Melbourne, Australia.

CF Industries Holdings Inc

BASIC MATERIALS · AGRICULTURAL INPUTS · USA

CF Industries Holdings, Inc. is a North American manufacturer and distributor of agricultural fertilizers, based in Deerfield, Illinois.

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