Alibaba Group Holding Ltd (BABA)vsFossil Group Inc (FOSL)
BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Ltd
$121.06
-3.88%
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · Cap: $270.36B
FOSL
Fossil Group Inc
$4.01
-3.37%
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · Cap: $234.04M
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Alibaba Group Holding Ltd generates 102688% more annual revenue ($1.02T vs $995.91M). BABA leads profitability with a 10.1% profit margin vs -6.2%. BABA appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.39. BABA earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 64/100 (C+).
BABA
Buy64
out of 100
Grade: C+
FOSL
Hold38
out of 100
Grade: F
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+60.2%
Fair Value
$382.49
Current Price
$121.06
$261.43 discount
Margin of Safety
+73.6%
Fair Value
$14.84
Current Price
$4.01
$10.83 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Mega-cap, among the largest globally
Growing faster than its price suggests
Earnings expanding 104.1% YoY
Conservative balance sheet, low leverage
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Reasonable price relative to book value
Reasonable price relative to book value
Areas to Watch
2.9% revenue growth
Operating margin of 1.0%
Weak financial health signals
Negative free cash flow — burning cash
Distress zone — elevated risk
Smaller company, higher risk/reward
Weak financial health signals
ROE of -58.3% — below average capital efficiency
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : BABA
The strongest argument for BABA centers on Market Cap, PEG Ratio, EPS Growth. PEG of 0.39 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bull Case : FOSL
The strongest argument for FOSL centers on Price/Book. PEG of 1.23 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bear Case : BABA
The primary concerns for BABA are Revenue Growth, Operating Margin, Piotroski F-Score.
Bear Case : FOSL
The primary concerns for FOSL are Altman Z-Score, Market Cap, Piotroski F-Score. Debt-to-equity of 3.49 is elevated, increasing financial risk.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
BABA profiles as a value stock while FOSL is a turnaround play — different risk/reward profiles.
FOSL carries more volatility with a beta of 1.65 — expect wider price swings.
BABA is growing revenue faster at 2.9% — sustainability is the question.
FOSL generates stronger free cash flow (-23M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
BABA scores higher overall (64/100 vs 38/100). FOSL offers better value entry with a 73.6% margin of safety. Both earn "Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Alibaba Group Holding Ltd
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · INTERNET RETAIL · USA
Alibaba Group Holding Limited, also known as Alibaba Group and Alibaba.com, is a Chinese multinational technology company specializing in e-commerce, retail, Internet, and technology. Founded on 28 June 1999 in Hangzhou, Zhejiang, the company provides consumer-to-consumer (C2C), business-to-consumer (B2C), and business-to-business (B2B) sales services via web portals, as well as electronic payment services, shopping search engines and cloud computing services. It owns and operates a diverse portfolio of companies around the world in numerous business sectors.
Fossil Group Inc
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · FOOTWEAR & ACCESSORIES · USA
Fossil Group, Inc. designs, develops, markets, and distributes consumer fashion accessories in the United States, Europe, Asia, and internationally. The company is headquartered in Richardson, Texas.
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