Alaska Air Group Inc (ALK)vsUnited Airlines Holdings Inc (UAL)
ALK
Alaska Air Group Inc
$52.05
-0.95%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $5.29B
UAL
United Airlines Holdings Inc
$132.76
+0.11%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $39.38B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
United Airlines Holdings Inc generates 326% more annual revenue ($62.90B vs $14.76B). UAL leads profitability with a 5.6% profit margin vs -1.2%. ALK appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.20. UAL earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 57/100 (C).
ALK
Hold47
out of 100
Grade: D+
UAL
Buy57
out of 100
Grade: C
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+54.8%
Fair Value
$127.27
Current Price
$52.05
$75.22 discount
Margin of Safety
-77.5%
Fair Value
$68.36
Current Price
$132.76
$64.40 premium
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Reasonable price relative to book value
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Every $100 of equity generates 21 in profit
Reasonable price relative to book value
16.0% revenue growth
Areas to Watch
ROE of 2.0% — below average capital efficiency
Earnings declined 68.3%
Negative free cash flow — burning cash
Distress zone — elevated risk
5.6% margin — thin
Expensive relative to growth rate
Earnings declined 17.2%
Distress zone — elevated risk
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : ALK
The strongest argument for ALK centers on Price/Book. PEG of 1.20 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bull Case : UAL
The strongest argument for UAL centers on P/E Ratio, Return on Equity, Price/Book. Revenue growth of 16.0% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bear Case : ALK
The primary concerns for ALK are Return on Equity, EPS Growth, Free Cash Flow. Debt-to-equity of 2.08 is elevated, increasing financial risk.
Bear Case : UAL
The primary concerns for UAL are Profit Margin, PEG Ratio, EPS Growth. Debt-to-equity of 2.02 is elevated, increasing financial risk.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
ALK profiles as a turnaround stock while UAL is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.
ALK carries more volatility with a beta of 1.28 — expect wider price swings.
UAL is growing revenue faster at 16.0% — sustainability is the question.
Monitor AIRLINES industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.
Bottom Line
UAL scores higher overall (57/100 vs 47/100) and 16.0% revenue growth. ALK offers better value entry with a 54.8% margin of safety. Both earn "Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Alaska Air Group Inc
INDUSTRIALS · AIRLINES · USA
Alaska Air Group is an airline holding company based in SeaTac, Washington, United States.
United Airlines Holdings Inc
INDUSTRIALS · AIRLINES · USA
United Airlines Holdings, Inc. (formerly known as United Continental Holdings, Inc., UAL Corporation, Allegis Corporation and founded originally as UAL, Inc.) is a publicly traded airline holding company headquartered in the Willis Tower in Chicago. UAH owns and operates United Airlines, Inc.
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