WallStSmart

Alaska Air Group Inc (ALK)vsSouthwest Airlines Company (LUV)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Southwest Airlines Company generates 97% more annual revenue ($28.06B vs $14.24B). LUV leads profitability with a 1.6% profit margin vs 0.7%. LUV appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.19. LUV earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 63/100 (C+).

ALK

Hold

49

out of 100

Grade: D+

Growth: 4.7Profit: 4.0Value: 7.3Quality: 4.3
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 1.08

LUV

Buy

63

out of 100

Grade: C+

Growth: 7.3Profit: 4.5Value: 4.7Quality: 6.5
Piotroski: 6/9Altman Z: 1.84
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

ALKSignificantly Overvalued (-919.5%)

Margin of Safety

-919.5%

Fair Value

$5.64

Current Price

$39.28

$33.64 premium

UndervaluedFair: $5.64Overvalued
LUVSignificantly Overvalued (-39.1%)

Margin of Safety

-39.1%

Fair Value

$36.97

Current Price

$40.19

$3.22 premium

UndervaluedFair: $36.97Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

ALK1 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
Price/BookValuation
1.1x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

LUV3 strengths · Avg: 9.3/10
PEG RatioValuation
0.1910/10

Growing faster than its price suggests

EPS GrowthGrowth
50.8%10/10

Earnings expanding 50.8% YoY

Price/BookValuation
2.6x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Areas to Watch

ALK4 concerns · Avg: 3.3/10
Revenue GrowthGrowth
2.8%4/10

2.8% revenue growth

Return on EquityProfitability
2.4%3/10

ROE of 2.4% — below average capital efficiency

Profit MarginProfitability
0.7%3/10

0.7% margin — thin

Operating MarginProfitability
3.2%3/10

Operating margin of 3.2%

LUV4 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.844/10

Grey zone — moderate risk

Return on EquityProfitability
4.8%3/10

ROE of 4.8% — below average capital efficiency

Profit MarginProfitability
1.6%3/10

1.6% margin — thin

P/E RatioValuation
50.9x2/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : ALK

The strongest argument for ALK centers on Price/Book. PEG of 1.20 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bull Case : LUV

The strongest argument for LUV centers on PEG Ratio, EPS Growth, Price/Book. PEG of 0.19 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : ALK

The primary concerns for ALK are Revenue Growth, Return on Equity, Profit Margin. A P/E of 46.4x leaves little room for execution misses. Thin 0.7% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Bear Case : LUV

The primary concerns for LUV are Altman Z-Score, Return on Equity, Profit Margin. A P/E of 50.9x leaves little room for execution misses. Thin 1.6% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

ALK carries more volatility with a beta of 1.16 — expect wider price swings.

LUV is growing revenue faster at 7.4% — sustainability is the question.

ALK generates stronger free cash flow (-440M), providing more financial flexibility.

Monitor AIRLINES industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.

Bottom Line

LUV scores higher overall (63/100 vs 49/100). Both earn "Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Alaska Air Group Inc

INDUSTRIALS · AIRLINES · USA

Alaska Air Group is an airline holding company based in SeaTac, Washington, United States.

Southwest Airlines Company

INDUSTRIALS · AIRLINES · USA

Southwest Airlines Co., typically referred to as Southwest, is one of the major airlines of the United States and the world's largest low-cost carrier airline. It is headquartered in Dallas, Texas.

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