WallStSmart

Alaska Air Group Inc (ALK)vsSouthwest Airlines Company (LUV)

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Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Southwest Airlines Company generates 106% more annual revenue ($31.55B vs $15.30B). LUV leads profitability with a 3.3% profit margin vs -2.6%. LUV appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.22. LUV earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 70/100 (B).

ALK

Buy

50

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 5.3Profit: 3.0Value: 7.0Quality: 3.5
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 1.08

LUV

Strong Buy

70

out of 100

Grade: B

Growth: 8.0Profit: 5.0Value: 7.0Quality: 5.5
Piotroski: 6/9Altman Z: 1.84
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

ALKUndervalued (+55.3%)

Margin of Safety

+55.3%

Fair Value

$128.74

Current Price

$36.78

$91.96 discount

UndervaluedFair: $128.74Overvalued

Intrinsic value data unavailable for LUV.

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

ALK1 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
Price/BookValuation
1.2x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

LUV4 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
0.2210/10

Growing faster than its price suggests

EPS GrowthGrowth
450.0%10/10

Earnings expanding 450.0% YoY

Price/BookValuation
2.9x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Revenue GrowthGrowth
21.2%8/10

Revenue surging 21.2% year-over-year

Areas to Watch

ALK4 concerns · Avg: 2.5/10
Return on EquityProfitability
2.0%3/10

ROE of 2.0% — below average capital efficiency

Operating MarginProfitability
2.5%3/10

Operating margin of 2.5%

EPS GrowthGrowth
-68.3%2/10

Earnings declined 68.3%

Free Cash FlowQuality
$-293.00M2/10

Negative free cash flow — burning cash

LUV4 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.844/10

Grey zone — moderate risk

Profit MarginProfitability
3.3%3/10

3.3% margin — thin

Operating MarginProfitability
4.5%3/10

Operating margin of 4.5%

Free Cash FlowQuality
$-495.00M2/10

Negative free cash flow — burning cash

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : ALK

The strongest argument for ALK centers on Price/Book. Revenue growth of 14.4% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 1.20 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bull Case : LUV

The strongest argument for LUV centers on PEG Ratio, EPS Growth, Price/Book. Revenue growth of 21.2% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 0.22 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : ALK

The primary concerns for ALK are Return on Equity, Operating Margin, EPS Growth. Debt-to-equity of 2.07 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Bear Case : LUV

The primary concerns for LUV are Altman Z-Score, Profit Margin, Operating Margin. Thin 3.3% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

ALK profiles as a turnaround stock while LUV is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.

ALK carries more volatility with a beta of 1.33 — expect wider price swings.

LUV is growing revenue faster at 21.2% — sustainability is the question.

ALK generates stronger free cash flow (-293M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

LUV scores higher overall (70/100 vs 50/100) and 21.2% revenue growth. ALK offers better value entry with a 55.3% margin of safety. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Alaska Air Group Inc

INDUSTRIALS · AIRLINES · USA

Alaska Air Group is an airline holding company based in SeaTac, Washington, United States.

Southwest Airlines Company

INDUSTRIALS · AIRLINES · USA

Southwest Airlines Co., typically referred to as Southwest, is one of the major airlines of the United States and the world's largest low-cost carrier airline. It is headquartered in Dallas, Texas.

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