WallStSmart

Arthur J Gallagher & Co (AJG)vsErie Indemnity Company (ERIE)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Arthur J Gallagher & Co generates 220% more annual revenue ($13.01B vs $4.07B). ERIE leads profitability with a 13.8% profit margin vs 11.5%. AJG appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.93. AJG earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 60/100 (C).

AJG

Buy

60

out of 100

Grade: C

Growth: 6.7Profit: 5.0Value: 7.3Quality: 4.3
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 0.76

ERIE

Hold

49

out of 100

Grade: D+

Growth: 4.7Profit: 8.0Value: 4.7Quality: 6.3
Piotroski: 2/9Altman Z: 5.22
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

AJGSignificantly Overvalued (-426.0%)

Margin of Safety

-426.0%

Fair Value

$39.03

Current Price

$216.28

$177.25 premium

UndervaluedFair: $39.03Overvalued
ERIESignificantly Overvalued (-285.5%)

Margin of Safety

-285.5%

Fair Value

$72.76

Current Price

$240.53

$167.77 premium

UndervaluedFair: $72.76Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

AJG4 strengths · Avg: 8.8/10
Revenue GrowthGrowth
36.7%10/10

Revenue surging 36.7% year-over-year

Market CapQuality
$55.23B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

PEG RatioValuation
0.938/10

Growing faster than its price suggests

Price/BookValuation
2.4x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

ERIE2 strengths · Avg: 9.5/10
Altman Z-ScoreHealth
5.2210/10

Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk

Return on EquityProfitability
26.2%9/10

Every $100 of equity generates 26 in profit

Areas to Watch

AJG4 concerns · Avg: 2.8/10
P/E RatioValuation
37.4x4/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

Return on EquityProfitability
6.9%3/10

ROE of 6.9% — below average capital efficiency

EPS GrowthGrowth
-48.3%2/10

Earnings declined 48.3%

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
0.762/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

ERIE4 concerns · Avg: 2.8/10
Revenue GrowthGrowth
2.9%4/10

2.9% revenue growth

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
2/93/10

Weak financial health signals

PEG RatioValuation
2.672/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

EPS GrowthGrowth
-58.4%2/10

Earnings declined 58.4%

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : AJG

The strongest argument for AJG centers on Revenue Growth, Market Cap, PEG Ratio. Revenue growth of 36.7% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 0.93 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bull Case : ERIE

The strongest argument for ERIE centers on Altman Z-Score, Return on Equity.

Bear Case : AJG

The primary concerns for AJG are P/E Ratio, Return on Equity, EPS Growth.

Bear Case : ERIE

The primary concerns for ERIE are Revenue Growth, Piotroski F-Score, PEG Ratio.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

AJG profiles as a growth stock while ERIE is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.

AJG carries more volatility with a beta of 0.67 — expect wider price swings.

AJG is growing revenue faster at 36.7% — sustainability is the question.

AJG generates stronger free cash flow (713M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

AJG scores higher overall (60/100 vs 49/100) and 36.7% revenue growth. Both earn "Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Arthur J Gallagher & Co

FINANCIAL SERVICES · INSURANCE BROKERS · USA

Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (AJG) is an American global insurance brokerage and risk management services firm headquartered in Rolling Meadows, Illinois.

Erie Indemnity Company

FINANCIAL SERVICES · INSURANCE BROKERS · USA

Erie Indemnity Company is an administrative agent for underwriters on the Erie Insurance Exchange in the United States. The company is headquartered in Erie, Pennsylvania.

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