Wingstop Inc
NASDAQ: WING · CONSUMER CYCLICAL · RESTAURANTS
Updated 2026-06-05
Wingstop Inc (WING) Stock Valuation Analysis
Fair value estimate, historical valuation range, and quality signals for WING.
Current price exceeds what fundamentals support. Risk/reward skewed unfavorably.
WING historical valuation range
Where current P/E sits in WING's own 5Y range.
WING intrinsic value (DCF)
DCF-based fair value estimate vs current market price.
Intrinsic value calculated using discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on projected free cash flows, discount rate, and terminal growth assumptions. A positive margin of safety indicates the current price is below estimated fair value, providing a cushion against estimation error.
WING valuation signals
Quick-read green flags, caution flags, and risks based on current metrics.
P/E Ratio — History
Current: 39.97x
P/S Ratio — History
Current: 6.23x
Is WING overvalued in 2026?
Wingstop Inc (WING) currently trades at $127.33 per share with a market capitalization of $4,419,571,000.00. Based on our multi-factor framework, the stock appears richly valued with a Smart Value Score of 45/100. This score blends growth quality, financial health, and price attractiveness into a single institutional-grade read.
The stock trades at a P/E ratio of 40.0x, below its 5-year median of 60.2x. The PEG ratio of 2.40 indicates the price has run ahead of the underlying growth rate.
Looking at its own history, WING is currently trading cheaper than 63% of the last 5Y on P/E. This places it in the 37th percentile of its historical range, a reasonable but unremarkable position.
Our discounted cash flow model estimates WING's intrinsic value at $235.19 per share, against the current market price of $127.33. This implies a premium to fair value of -3.60%. The stock is priced close to its estimated fair value, offering limited upside without further operational improvement.
The Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 puts financial quality in a middling range, neither a standout strength nor an obvious red flag.
Bottom line: WING appears richly valued on our framework, with a Smart Value Score of 45/100. At current levels the risk/reward is skewed against the buyer. A materially lower price or significant operational improvement would be needed to change the picture.
Frequently asked questions
Is WING overvalued?
WING scores 45/100 on our Smart Value Score (Grade C), a weak overall profile. On valuation specifically, the DCF puts intrinsic value below the current price, so the stock is expensive on cash flow today. The score reflects growth and quality carrying it, not a cheap entry point.
What is WING's fair value?
Our DCF model estimates WING's intrinsic value at $235.19 per share, versus the current price of $127.33, a margin of safety of -3.60%. Fair value is the present value of the cash flows we project the business to produce, so a price above it means the market is paying up for growth the model does not yet assume.
What P/E ratio does WING trade at?
WING trades at a P/E of 40.0x on trailing twelve-month earnings, against a 5-year median of 60.2x. P/E is what you pay per dollar of profit, and sitting below its own median means the stock is cheaper than usual relative to its earnings.
Is WING a buy based on valuation?
Our Smart Value rating for WING is Sell, from a Smart Value Score of 45/100 that blends growth, quality, and valuation. The profile skews cautious, and a better price or clearer operating improvement would strengthen the case. This is research to inform your decision, not personalized financial advice.
How does WING's valuation compare to its history?
On P/E, WING sits in the 37th percentile of its own 5Y range, below its long-run median relative to where it has traded. A low percentile means today's multiple is near the bottom of its historical band.
What is WING's Smart Value Score?
WING's Smart Value Score is 45/100. It is a proprietary WallStSmart metric blending growth quality, financial health, and valuation into a single 0-100 read, and scores above 75 are rare, signaling strong multi-factor alignment.