WallStSmart
VRSN

VeriSign Inc

NASDAQ: VRSN · TECHNOLOGY · SOFTWARE - INFRASTRUCTURE

$286.47
+0.38% today

Updated 2026-06-05

Market cap
$25.47B
P/E ratio
30.96
P/S ratio
15.13x
EPS (TTM)
$9.04
Dividend yield
1.12%
52W range
$208 – $312
Volume
0.9M

VeriSign Inc (VRSN) Financial Forecast & Price Target 2030

Research-backed projections from analyst consensus, management guidance, and sector analysis.

Research-backed VRSN price target 2030 projection accounting for share dilution, balance sheet debt, and time value of money.
Current price
$286.47
Today
Analyst consensus
$317.67
+10.89% · 12M
2030 Base
$212.67
-25.76% future
NPV today
$147.88
@ 8% WACC
5 analysts:
3 Buy2 Hold1 Sell

Management guidance

VeriSign raised FY2026 revenue guidance to $1.73B-$1.75B (from $1.72B-$1.74B) in Q1 2026 earnings. CEO D. James Bidzos has emphasized the company's focus on pricing power for .com domains (subject to ICANN approval) and steady .net domain growth. Management projects mid-single-digit organic growth driven by domain name growth and pricing increases on annual renewal cycles.

Sources: Management guidance, analyst consensus, sector analysishigh confidence

VRSN · VeriSign Inc · Revenue & price projection · 2023–2030E

Actual / 2030 target Projected revenue Base case price Bull to bear range
Bear case (2030)
$112.36
NPV today: $78.13
Base case (2030)
$212.67
NPV today: $147.88
Bull case (2030)
$438.37
NPV today: $304.83
WallStSmart.com

VRSN financial forecast · Research-backed projections

Metric20252026 (E)2027 (E)2028 (E)2029 (E)2030 (E)
Revenue$1.7B$1.7B$1.9B$2.0B$2.2B$2.3B
Revenue growth6.4%4.8%7.2%7.8%7.2%7.0%
Net margin51.4%52.2%52.6%52.6%52.6%
EPS$8.81$9.80$10.65$11.55$12.35$13.20
Diluted shares91M91M92M92M92M
Net debt$1.29B$755.50M$176.69M$-443.87M$-1.11B
P/S multiple8.0x8.0x8.0x8.0x8.0x
Implied price (base)$138.49$155.03$173.72$192.78$212.67
★ 2030E is the model's terminal target year. Implied price = (Revenue × P/S − Net debt) ÷ Diluted shares.

Scenario detail · Three drivers, three outcomes

2030E driverBearBaseBull
Revenue$2.3B$2.3B$2.3B
P/S multiple4.0x8.0x17.0x
Diluted shares92M92M92M
Net debt$-1.11B$-1.11B$-1.11B
Implied P/E 9x16x33x
2030 Price$112.36$212.67$438.37
NPV @ 8%$78.13$147.88$304.83
† Implied P/E: Multiples remain elevated across all three scenarios because VRSN is valued primarily on revenue scale during its growth phase, not near-term earnings power. Lower P/E in the bear case reflects multiple compression, but the absolute level stays high since 2030E still represents a hypergrowth-to-mature transition year.

EV to per-share bridge · How we get to $212.67 base case

Bridge from revenue to per-share price$2.3B revenue times 8.0x P/S equals $18B EV, minus $-1.11B net debt equals $20B equity, divided by 92M shares equals $212.67 per shareREVENUE$2.3B2030 base case× 8.0xP/S multipleENTERPRISE VALUE$18BTotal firm value$-1.11BNet debtEQUITY VALUE$20BOwners' claim÷ 92MDiluted shares2030 PRICE TARGET$212.67Base case · per shareRevenue × P/S − Net debt ÷ Diluted shares = Per-share priceBear case: $112.36 · Bull case: $438.37 · NPV @ 8% WACC: $147.88

VRSN catalysts and risks

Growth catalysts
+ ICANN approval of .com pricing increases (historically approved every 6 years; next window 2026-2027)
+ Growth in global domain registrations and renewals driven by continued internet expansion and AI-era digital infrastructure demand
+ Dividend increases and share buybacks funded by strong operating cash flow ($1.09B TTM)
+ Potential .net domain pricing increases and expansion of registry services
Key risks
- Regulatory constraints on .com pricing increases from ICANN; lack of approval would cap revenue growth at 3-4%
- Competitive pressure from alternative domain extensions (.ai, .io) and new gTLDs reducing .com/.net market share
- Maturity of core business limits organic growth to single digits without pricing power; heavily dependent on pricing rather than volume
- High debt/equity ratio and moderate free cash flow conversion limit strategic flexibility

Methodology · VeriSign Inc 2030 stock forecast model

VeriSign Inc 2030 price target is calculated using WallStSmart's research model. Revenue projections are derived from analyst consensus across 5 Wall Street analysts, management guidance from the latest earnings call, and sector growth forecasts. The model is built on five core components:

1. Share dilutionProjected from per-ticker schedule of SBC + equity raise activity, compounding year by year (1% cumulative for VRSN by 2030)
2. Net debtEV minus net debt yields equity value; debt projected from capex cycle trajectory ($-1.11B by 2030)
3. Time valueNPV calculated using 8% WACC (CAPM: beta 0.681)
4. Multiple frameworkP/S compresses with scale: bear 4.0x / base 8.0x / bull 17.0x
5. Scenario designBull/Base/Bear vary revenue, margin, shares, debt, and multiple independently

WallStSmart research model · Not financial advice · Past performance is not indicative of future results · Last researched: May 20, 2026.

VRSN price target FAQ

What is the VRSN price target for 2030?

WallStSmart's VeriSign Inc 2030 base case is $212.67 per share, with a bull case of $438.37 and bear case of $112.36. The NPV of the base case discounted to today at 8% WACC is $147.88.

How is the VeriSign Inc 2030 stock forecast calculated?

The VRSN 2030 projection multiplies projected revenue by a growth-adjusted P/S multiple to derive enterprise value, subtracts projected net debt to get equity value, then divides by diluted shares outstanding accounting for dilution from stock-based compensation and equity raises.

Why does the VRSN price target account for dilution?

VeriSign Inc is projected to grow diluted share count from 91M to 92M by 2030 (a 1% increase) through stock-based compensation and capital raises. Ignoring this would inflate the price target by approximately 1%.

What is the analyst consensus on VRSN stock?

5 analysts cover VRSN with an average 12-month price target of $317.67. The 2030 projection extends this framework with longer-horizon assumptions including dilution and time value of money.