WallStSmart
VRRM

Verra Mobility Corp

NASDAQ: VRRM · TECHNOLOGY · INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY SERVICES

$14.87
-2.62% today

Updated 2026-04-29

Market cap
$2.26B
P/E ratio
17.49
P/S ratio
2.31x
EPS (TTM)
$0.85
Dividend yield
52W range
$14 – $26
Volume
1.7M

Verra Mobility Corp (VRRM) Stock Valuation Analysis

Fair value estimate, historical valuation range, and quality signals for VRRM.

WallStSmart Verdict
Fairly
Valued

Valuation reasonably reflects current fundamentals. Limited margin of safety at these levels.

Smart Value Score: 63 / 100
P/E (TTM)
17.5x
vs 5Y median of 39.8x
PEG
Margin of Safety
+39.06%
Fair value $30.49 vs $14.87
EV / EBITDA
0.0x

VRRM historical valuation range

Where current P/E sits in VRRM's own 5Y range.

NOW
17.1x
5Y Low
22.2x
25th
39.8x
Median
57.0x
75th
142.2x
5Y High
VRRM is trading cheaper than 91% of the last 5Y.
9th percentile · Historically cheap

VRRM intrinsic value (DCF)

DCF-based fair value estimate vs current market price.

Current price
$14.87
Market value
Intrinsic value
$30.49
DCF estimate
Margin of safety
+39.06%
+105.0% upside to fair value

Intrinsic value calculated using discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on projected free cash flows, discount rate, and terminal growth assumptions. A positive margin of safety indicates the current price is below estimated fair value, providing a cushion against estimation error.

VRRM valuation signals

Quick-read green flags, caution flags, and risks based on current metrics.

P/E near 5Y low
Current P/E sits in the 9th percentile of its 5Y range. Historically cheap relative to its own history.
Strong margin of safety
Current price 39.1% below DCF intrinsic value estimate. Meaningful downside cushion.
Weak financial quality
Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 suggests deteriorating fundamentals. Valuation requires closer scrutiny.

P/E Ratio — History

Current: 17.49x

P/S Ratio — History

Current: 2.31x

Is VRRM overvalued in 2026?

Verra Mobility Corp (VRRM) currently trades at $14.87 per share with a market capitalization of $2,258,849,000.00. Based on our multi-factor framework, the stock trades at a fair valuation with a Smart Value Score of 63/100. This score blends growth quality, financial health, and price attractiveness into a single institutional-grade read.

The stock trades at a P/E ratio of 17.5x, below its 5-year median of 39.8x.

Looking at its own history, VRRM is currently trading cheaper than 91% of the last 5Y on P/E. This places it in the 9th percentile of its historical range, a level that has historically coincided with attractive entry points.

Our discounted cash flow model estimates VRRM's intrinsic value at $30.49 per share, against the current market price of $14.87. This implies a margin of safety of +39.06%. A meaningful cushion exists against model error, making this a reasonable risk-adjusted entry.

Financial quality is a concern. The Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weakening fundamentals that deserve closer scrutiny before the valuation case can be fully trusted.

Bottom line: VRRM trades at a fair valuation on our framework, with a Smart Value Score of 63/100. The valuation is defensible but offers no obvious bargain. Patience or a better entry price may reward disciplined buyers.

Frequently asked questions

Is VRRM overvalued in 2026?

Based on a Smart Value Score of 63/100, VRRM is fairly valued. Price reasonably reflects current fundamentals with limited cushion in either direction.

What is VRRM's fair value?

Our DCF model estimates VRRM's intrinsic value at $30.49 per share, versus the current price of $14.87. This produces a margin of safety of +39.06%.

What P/E ratio does VRRM trade at?

VRRM trades at a P/E of 17.5x on trailing twelve-month earnings, compared to its 5-year median of 39.8x.

Is VRRM a buy based on valuation?

WallStSmart does not issue buy or sell recommendations. Our Smart Value Score of 63/100 reflects the combined read on growth, quality, and price. The profile is balanced. Best suited for investors with an existing thesis.

How does VRRM's valuation compare to its history?

On P/E, VRRM currently sits in the 9th percentile of its own 5Y range. That is historically cheap relative to where it has traded over the period.

What is VRRM's Smart Value Score?

VRRM's Smart Value Score is 63/100. The Smart Value Score is a proprietary WallStSmart metric blending growth quality, financial health, and valuation attractiveness into a single 0-100 read. Scores above 75 are rare and indicate strong multi-factor alignment.