WallStSmart
UAL

United Airlines Holdings Inc

NASDAQ: UAL · INDUSTRIALS · AIRLINES

$88.62
-1.98% today

Updated 2026-04-29

Market cap
$28.76B
P/E ratio
7.93
P/S ratio
0.48x
EPS (TTM)
$11.18
Dividend yield
52W range
$71 – $119
Volume
8.4M

United Airlines Holdings Inc (UAL) Stock Valuation Analysis

Fair value estimate, historical valuation range, and quality signals for UAL.

WallStSmart Verdict
Fairly
Valued

Valuation reasonably reflects current fundamentals. Limited margin of safety at these levels.

Smart Value Score: 70 / 100
P/E (TTM)
7.9x
vs 5Y median of 8.0x
PEG
6.50
Elevated vs growth
Margin of Safety
+14.47%
Fair value $133.22 vs $88.62
EV / EBITDA
7.9x

UAL historical valuation range

Where current P/E sits in UAL's own 5Y range.

NOW
4.9x
5Y Low
6.5x
25th
8.0x
Median
9.6x
75th
17.4x
5Y High
UAL is trading cheaper than 53% of the last 5Y.
47th percentile · Below median

UAL intrinsic value (DCF)

DCF-based fair value estimate vs current market price.

Current price
$88.62
Market value
Intrinsic value
$133.22
DCF estimate
Margin of safety
+14.47%
+50.3% upside to fair value

Intrinsic value calculated using discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on projected free cash flows, discount rate, and terminal growth assumptions. A positive margin of safety indicates the current price is below estimated fair value, providing a cushion against estimation error.

UAL valuation signals

Quick-read green flags, caution flags, and risks based on current metrics.

PEG above 2.0
PEG of 6.50 suggests price is running ahead of growth rate. Caution warranted.
!
P/E in mid-range
P/E sits at the 47th percentile of the 5Y range. Neither cheap nor rich historically.
!
Near fair value
+14.47% margin of safety. Price is close to DCF estimate.

P/E Ratio — History

Current: 7.93x

P/S Ratio — History

Current: 0.48x

Is UAL overvalued in 2026?

United Airlines Holdings Inc (UAL) currently trades at $88.62 per share with a market capitalization of $28,763,369,000.00. Based on our multi-factor framework, the stock trades at a fair valuation with a Smart Value Score of 70/100. This score blends growth quality, financial health, and price attractiveness into a single institutional-grade read.

The stock trades at a P/E ratio of 7.9x, below its 5-year median of 8.0x. The PEG ratio of 6.50 indicates the price has run ahead of the underlying growth rate.

Looking at its own history, UAL is currently trading cheaper than 53% of the last 5Y on P/E. This places it in the 47th percentile of its historical range, a reasonable but unremarkable position.

Our discounted cash flow model estimates UAL's intrinsic value at $133.22 per share, against the current market price of $88.62. This implies a margin of safety of +14.47%. The stock is priced close to its estimated fair value, offering limited upside without further operational improvement.

The Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 puts financial quality in a middling range, neither a standout strength nor an obvious red flag.

Bottom line: UAL trades at a fair valuation on our framework, with a Smart Value Score of 70/100. The valuation is defensible but offers no obvious bargain. Patience or a better entry price may reward disciplined buyers.

Frequently asked questions

Is UAL overvalued in 2026?

Based on a Smart Value Score of 70/100, UAL is fairly valued. Price reasonably reflects current fundamentals with limited cushion in either direction.

What is UAL's fair value?

Our DCF model estimates UAL's intrinsic value at $133.22 per share, versus the current price of $88.62. This produces a margin of safety of +14.47%.

What P/E ratio does UAL trade at?

UAL trades at a P/E of 7.9x on trailing twelve-month earnings, compared to its 5-year median of 8.0x.

Is UAL a buy based on valuation?

WallStSmart does not issue buy or sell recommendations. Our Smart Value Score of 70/100 reflects the combined read on growth, quality, and price. The profile is balanced. Best suited for investors with an existing thesis.

How does UAL's valuation compare to its history?

On P/E, UAL currently sits in the 47th percentile of its own 5Y range. That is below its long-run median relative to where it has traded over the period.

What is UAL's Smart Value Score?

UAL's Smart Value Score is 70/100. The Smart Value Score is a proprietary WallStSmart metric blending growth quality, financial health, and valuation attractiveness into a single 0-100 read. Scores above 75 are rare and indicate strong multi-factor alignment.