WallStSmart
TWIN

Twin Disc Incorporated

NASDAQ: TWIN · INDUSTRIALS · SPECIALTY INDUSTRIAL MACHINERY

$18.50
+3.61% today

Updated 2026-06-04

Market cap
$288.75M
P/E ratio
10.76
P/S ratio
0.79x
EPS (TTM)
$1.86
Dividend yield
0.80%
52W range
$7 – $21
Volume
0.1M

Twin Disc Incorporated (TWIN) Stock Valuation Analysis

Fair value estimate, historical valuation range, and quality signals for TWIN.

WallStSmart Verdict
Fairly
Valued

Valuation reasonably reflects current fundamentals. Limited margin of safety at these levels.

Smart Value Score: 62 / 100
P/E (TTM)
10.8x
vs 5Y median of 11.7x
PEG
3.16
Elevated vs growth
Margin of Safety
+32.20%
Fair value $25.40 vs $18.50
EV / EBITDA
0.0x

TWIN historical valuation range

Where current P/E sits in TWIN's own 5Y range.

NOW
9.2x
5Y Low
10.6x
25th
11.7x
Median
15.7x
75th
27.4x
5Y High
TWIN is trading cheaper than 67% of the last 5Y.
33th percentile · Below median

TWIN intrinsic value (DCF)

DCF-based fair value estimate vs current market price.

Current price
$18.50
Market value
Intrinsic value
$25.40
DCF estimate
Margin of safety
+32.20%
+37.3% upside to fair value

Intrinsic value calculated using discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on projected free cash flows, discount rate, and terminal growth assumptions. A positive margin of safety indicates the current price is below estimated fair value, providing a cushion against estimation error.

TWIN valuation signals

Quick-read green flags, caution flags, and risks based on current metrics.

PEG above 2.0
PEG of 3.16 suggests price is running ahead of growth rate. Caution warranted.
!
P/E in mid-range
P/E sits at the 33th percentile of the 5Y range. Neither cheap nor rich historically.
Strong margin of safety
Current price 32.2% below DCF intrinsic value estimate. Meaningful downside cushion.
Weak financial quality
Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 suggests deteriorating fundamentals. Valuation requires closer scrutiny.

P/E Ratio — History

Current: 10.76x

P/S Ratio — History

Current: 0.79x

Is TWIN overvalued in 2026?

Twin Disc Incorporated (TWIN) currently trades at $18.50 per share with a market capitalization of $288,745,000.00. Based on our multi-factor framework, the stock trades at a fair valuation with a Smart Value Score of 62/100. This score blends growth quality, financial health, and price attractiveness into a single institutional-grade read.

The stock trades at a P/E ratio of 10.8x, below its 5-year median of 11.7x. The PEG ratio of 3.16 indicates the price has run ahead of the underlying growth rate.

Looking at its own history, TWIN is currently trading cheaper than 67% of the last 5Y on P/E. This places it in the 33th percentile of its historical range, a reasonable but unremarkable position.

Our discounted cash flow model estimates TWIN's intrinsic value at $25.40 per share, against the current market price of $18.50. This implies a margin of safety of +32.20%. A meaningful cushion exists against model error, making this a reasonable risk-adjusted entry.

Financial quality is a concern. The Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weakening fundamentals that deserve closer scrutiny before the valuation case can be fully trusted.

Bottom line: TWIN trades at a fair valuation on our framework, with a Smart Value Score of 62/100. The valuation is defensible but offers no obvious bargain. Patience or a better entry price may reward disciplined buyers.

Frequently asked questions

Is TWIN overvalued?

TWIN scores 62/100 on our Smart Value Score (Grade C+), a mixed overall profile. The DCF also shows a positive margin of safety, so price and fundamentals line up reasonably well.

What is TWIN's fair value?

Our DCF model estimates TWIN's intrinsic value at $25.40 per share, versus the current price of $18.50, a margin of safety of +32.20%. Fair value is the present value of the cash flows we project the business to produce, so a price below it means the market is pricing the stock below that conservative estimate.

What P/E ratio does TWIN trade at?

TWIN trades at a P/E of 10.8x on trailing twelve-month earnings, against a 5-year median of 11.7x. P/E is what you pay per dollar of profit, and sitting below its own median means the stock is cheaper than usual relative to its earnings.

Is TWIN a buy based on valuation?

Our Smart Value rating for TWIN is Hold, from a Smart Value Score of 62/100 that blends growth, quality, and valuation. The profile is balanced and best suited to investors who already have a thesis. This is research to inform your decision, not personalized financial advice.

How does TWIN's valuation compare to its history?

On P/E, TWIN sits in the 33rd percentile of its own 5Y range, below its long-run median relative to where it has traded. A low percentile means today's multiple is near the bottom of its historical band.

What is TWIN's Smart Value Score?

TWIN's Smart Value Score is 62/100. It is a proprietary WallStSmart metric blending growth quality, financial health, and valuation into a single 0-100 read, and scores above 75 are rare, signaling strong multi-factor alignment.