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TSLA

Tesla Inc

NASDAQ: TSLA · CONSUMER CYCLICAL · AUTO MANUFACTURERS

$372.80
-0.86% today

Updated 2026-04-29

Market cap
$1.43T
P/E ratio
343.81
P/S ratio
14.64x
EPS (TTM)
$1.11
Dividend yield
—
52W range
$271 – $499
Volume
63.5M
OverviewPrice TargetsFinancialsValuationInsidersEarnings

Tesla Inc (TSLA) Financial Forecast & Price Target 2030

Research-backed projections from analyst consensus, management guidance, and sector analysis.

Price target summary

Current
$372.80
Consensus
$405.47
+8.76%
2030 Target
$113.60
-69.53%
DCF
$260.51
-46.49% MoS
32 analysts:
9 Buy11 Hold7 Sell

Management guidance

CEO Elon Musk has not provided explicit revenue targets for 2026-2030 in recent guidance. However, Tesla's strategic focus on Cybercab/robotaxi production (launched Q2 2026) and Full Self-Driving (FSD) represents a potential step-change in revenue model from vehicle sales to autonomous fleet services, which could materially exceed traditional automotive projections if successful.

Sources: Management guidance, analyst consensus, sector analysishigh confidence

Revenue & price projection

Actual revenue Projected revenue Base case Bull to bear range
Bull case (2030)
$189.34
$410.0B Rev × 1.6x P/S
Base case (2030)
$113.60
$410.0B Rev × 1x P/S
Bear case (2030)
$75.73
$410.0B Rev × 0.6x P/S

Financial forecast — research-backed

Metric2023202420252026 (E)2027 (E)2028 (E)2029 (E)2030 (E)
Revenue$96.8B$97.7B$94.8B$112.0B$142.0B$195.0B$285.0B$410.0B
Revenue growth—0.9%-2.9%18.0%26.8%37.3%46.2%43.9%
EPS$3.13$2.42$1.26$2.15$3.05$4.50$7.20$11.50
P/S ratio———1.0x1.0x1.0x1.0x1.0x
Implied price———$37.87$37.87$37.87$75.73$113.60

Catalysts & risks

Growth catalysts
+ Cybercab/robotaxi production ramp (began Q2 2026) — potential new $50B+ revenue stream by 2028-2030
+ Full Self-Driving (FSD) regulatory approval in China and EU — unlocks 15-20M+ vehicle addressable market
+ Energy storage and Powershare V2X grid services expansion — adjacent revenue stream, high margin
+ Next-gen platform (cheaper EV) production scaling — drives unit volume growth 40-60% by 2028
+ Supercharger network monetization and licensing to other OEMs — recurring revenue source
Key risks
- Robotaxi regulatory delays or safety concerns — could push major revenue inflection to 2031+
- China competition intensifies (BYD, Li Auto, DeepRoute.ai scaling rapidly) — market share compression
- EV demand moderation in developed markets and high new car costs — pressure on ASP and volume
- Elon Musk share registration (304M shares) — potential near-term selling pressure, distraction from operations
- Macro recession or credit contraction — consumer vehicle purchasing delays, fleet deployment slowdown
- FSD liability / legal / safety incidents — regulatory rollback or forced retraining adds cost

Methodology

Tesla Inc's forward estimates are derived from AI-powered research synthesis combining analyst consensus from 32 Wall Street analysts, management guidance from the latest earnings call, and sector growth forecasts from industry research. Revenue and EPS projections use analyst consensus where available and conservative extrapolation with growth deceleration for outer years. Price targets are calculated using a tiered Price-to-Sales (P/S) methodology, where the P/S multiple is determined by the projected revenue growth rate.

WallStSmart proprietary research model · Not financial advice · Past performance is not indicative of future results · Last researched: April 28, 2026.