WallStSmart
TRC

Tejon Ranch Co

NYSE: TRC · INDUSTRIALS · CONGLOMERATES

$16.04
-0.68% today

Updated 2026-10-21

Market cap
$441.80M
P/E ratio
74.32
P/S ratio
7.77x
EPS (TTM)
$0.22
Dividend yield
—
52W range
$15 – $21
Volume
0.2M

Tejon Ranch Co (TRC) Stock Valuation Analysis

Fair value estimate, historical valuation range, and quality signals for TRC.

WallStSmart Verdict
Overvalued

Current price exceeds what fundamentals support. Risk/reward skewed unfavorably.

Smart Value Score: 47 / 100
P/E (TTM)
74.3x
vs 5Y median of 74.5x
PEG
—
—
Margin of Safety
+50.36%
Fair value $33.50 vs $16.04
EV / EBITDA
84.3x

TRC historical valuation range

Where current P/E sits in TRC's own 5Y range.

NOW
22.9x
5Y Low
49.2x
25th
74.5x
Median
110.7x
75th
176.1x
5Y High
TRC is trading more expensive than 50% of the last 5Y.
50th percentile · Above median

TRC intrinsic value (DCF)

DCF-based fair value estimate vs current market price.

Current price
$16.04
Market value
Intrinsic value
$33.50
DCF estimate
Margin of safety
+50.36%
+108.9% upside to fair value

Intrinsic value calculated using discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on projected free cash flows, discount rate, and terminal growth assumptions. A positive margin of safety indicates the current price is below estimated fair value, providing a cushion against estimation error.

TRC valuation signals

Quick-read green flags, caution flags, and risks based on current metrics.

!
P/E in mid-range
P/E sits at the 50th percentile of the 5Y range. Neither cheap nor rich historically.
✓
Strong margin of safety
Current price 50.4% below DCF intrinsic value estimate. Meaningful downside cushion.

P/E Ratio — History

Current: 74.32x

P/S Ratio — History

Current: 7.77x

Is TRC overvalued in 2026?

Tejon Ranch Co (TRC) currently trades at $16.04 per share with a market capitalization of $441,801,000.00. Based on our multi-factor framework, the stock appears richly valued with a Smart Value Score of 47/100. This score blends growth quality, financial health, and price attractiveness into a single institutional-grade read.

The stock trades at a P/E ratio of 74.3x, below its 5-year median of 74.5x.

Looking at its own history, TRC is currently trading more expensive than 50% of the last 5Y on P/E. This places it in the 50th percentile of its historical range, a reasonable but unremarkable position.

Our discounted cash flow model estimates TRC's intrinsic value at $33.50 per share, against the current market price of $16.04. This implies a margin of safety of +50.36%. A meaningful cushion exists against model error, making this a reasonable risk-adjusted entry.

The Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 puts financial quality in a middling range, neither a standout strength nor an obvious red flag.

Bottom line: TRC appears richly valued on our framework, with a Smart Value Score of 47/100. At current levels the risk/reward is skewed against the buyer. A materially lower price or significant operational improvement would be needed to change the picture.

Frequently asked questions

Is TRC overvalued?

TRC scores 47/100 on our Smart Value Score (Grade C), a weak overall profile. The DCF also shows a positive margin of safety, so price and fundamentals line up reasonably well.

What is TRC's fair value?

Our DCF model estimates TRC's intrinsic value at $33.50 per share, versus the current price of $16.04, a margin of safety of +50.36%. Fair value is the present value of the cash flows we project the business to produce, so a price below it means the market is pricing the stock below that conservative estimate.

What P/E ratio does TRC trade at?

TRC trades at a P/E of 74.3x on trailing twelve-month earnings, against a 5-year median of 74.5x. P/E is what you pay per dollar of profit, and sitting below its own median means the stock is cheaper than usual relative to its earnings.

Is TRC a buy based on valuation?

Our Smart Value rating for TRC is Sell, from a Smart Value Score of 47/100 that blends growth, quality, and valuation. The profile skews cautious, and a better price or clearer operating improvement would strengthen the case. This is research to inform your decision, not personalized financial advice.

How does TRC's valuation compare to its history?

On P/E, TRC sits in the 50th percentile of its own 5Y range, above its long-run median relative to where it has traded. A high percentile means today's multiple is near the top of its historical band.

What is TRC's Smart Value Score?

TRC's Smart Value Score is 47/100. It is a proprietary WallStSmart metric blending growth quality, financial health, and valuation into a single 0-100 read, and scores above 75 are rare, signaling strong multi-factor alignment.