WallStSmart
TCOM

Trip.com Group Ltd ADR

NASDAQ: TCOM · CONSUMER CYCLICAL · TRAVEL SERVICES

$52.78
+0.84% today

Updated 2026-04-29

Market cap
$32.96B
P/E ratio
7.51
P/S ratio
0.53x
EPS (TTM)
$6.97
Dividend yield
52W range
$48 – $79
Volume
3.0M

Trip.com Group Ltd ADR (TCOM) Financial Forecast & Price Target 2030

Research-backed projections from analyst consensus, management guidance, and sector analysis.

Price target summary

Current
$52.78
Consensus
$78.75
+49.20%
2030 Target
$2,170.64
+4012.62%
DCF
$388.15
+85.07% MoS
38 analysts:
8 Buy1 Hold0 Sell

Management guidance

No specific CEO revenue targets for 2026-2030 were disclosed in available earnings calls or investor communications. Management has historically guided to operational efficiency and margin expansion rather than explicit revenue targets. Latest Q4 2025 earnings showed 17% YoY revenue growth to 62.41B CNY, with management emphasizing international expansion and AI monetization initiatives.

Sources: Management guidance, analyst consensus, sector analysishigh confidence

Revenue & price projection

Actual revenue Projected revenue Base case Bull to bear range
Bull case (2030)
$3,614.37
$118.2B Rev × 20x P/S
Base case (2030)
$2,170.64
$118.2B Rev × 12x P/S
Bear case (2030)
$1,448.78
$118.2B Rev × 8x P/S

Financial forecast — research-backed

Metric2023202420252026 (E)2027 (E)2028 (E)2029 (E)2030 (E)
Revenue$44.5B$53.3B$60.7B$72.3B$81.7B$92.4B$104.6B$118.2B
Revenue growth19.7%13.9%15.9%13.0%13.1%13.2%13.0%
EPS$18.18$26.35$45.69$28.49$32.63$37.80$42.95$48.65
P/S ratio12.0x12.0x12.0x12.0x12.0x
Implied price$1,327.62$1,499.26$1,696.13$1,918.24$2,170.64

Catalysts & risks

Growth catalysts
+ Resolution of Chinese antitrust investigation and AI pricing tool regulatory compliance
+ International expansion acceleration in North America, Europe, and Southeast Asia markets
+ Margin expansion through AI-driven pricing optimization and platform efficiency
Key risks
- Ongoing Chinese antitrust probe and potential fines or operational restrictions on AI pricing tools
- Multiple class-action securities lawsuits alleging disclosure failures regarding monopolistic practices
- Regulatory restrictions on dynamic pricing algorithms and market-dominant position enforcement in China
- Geopolitical tensions affecting China-based tech companies and potential US delisting risks

Methodology

Trip.com Group Ltd ADR's forward estimates are derived from AI-powered research synthesis combining analyst consensus from 38 Wall Street analysts, management guidance from the latest earnings call, and sector growth forecasts from industry research. Revenue and EPS projections use analyst consensus where available and conservative extrapolation with growth deceleration for outer years. Price targets are calculated using a tiered Price-to-Sales (P/S) methodology, where the P/S multiple is determined by the projected revenue growth rate.

WallStSmart proprietary research model · Not financial advice · Past performance is not indicative of future results · Last researched: April 7, 2026.