WallStSmart
TCI

Transcontinental Realty Investors

NYSE: TCI · REAL ESTATE · REAL ESTATE SERVICES

$35.42
-4.84% today

Updated 2026-04-30

Market cap
$325.18M
P/E ratio
23.52
P/S ratio
6.63x
EPS (TTM)
$1.60
Dividend yield
52W range
$28 – $60
Volume
0.0M

Transcontinental Realty Investors (TCI) Stock Valuation Analysis

Fair value estimate, historical valuation range, and quality signals for TCI.

WallStSmart Verdict
Overvalued

Current price exceeds what fundamentals support. Risk/reward skewed unfavorably.

Smart Value Score: 46 / 100
P/E (TTM)
23.5x
vs 5Y median of 25.2x
PEG
Margin of Safety
-40.26%
Fair value $38.90 vs $35.42
EV / EBITDA
10.0x

TCI historical valuation range

Where current P/E sits in TCI's own 5Y range.

NOW
0.8x
5Y Low
21.5x
25th
25.2x
Median
43.8x
75th
77.8x
5Y High
TCI is trading cheaper than 61% of the last 5Y.
39th percentile · Below median

TCI intrinsic value (DCF)

DCF-based fair value estimate vs current market price.

Current price
$35.42
Market value
Intrinsic value
$38.90
DCF estimate
Margin of safety
-40.26%
+9.8% upside to fair value

Intrinsic value calculated using discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on projected free cash flows, discount rate, and terminal growth assumptions. A positive margin of safety indicates the current price is below estimated fair value, providing a cushion against estimation error.

TCI valuation signals

Quick-read green flags, caution flags, and risks based on current metrics.

!
P/E in mid-range
P/E sits at the 39th percentile of the 5Y range. Neither cheap nor rich historically.
Premium to fair value
Price exceeds DCF intrinsic value by 40.3%. Limited downside protection.
Weak financial quality
Piotroski F-Score of 0/9 suggests deteriorating fundamentals. Valuation requires closer scrutiny.

P/E Ratio — History

Current: 23.52x

P/S Ratio — History

Current: 6.63x

Is TCI overvalued in 2026?

Transcontinental Realty Investors (TCI) currently trades at $35.42 per share with a market capitalization of $325,184,000.00. Based on our multi-factor framework, the stock appears richly valued with a Smart Value Score of 46/100. This score blends growth quality, financial health, and price attractiveness into a single institutional-grade read.

The stock trades at a P/E ratio of 23.5x, below its 5-year median of 25.2x.

Looking at its own history, TCI is currently trading cheaper than 61% of the last 5Y on P/E. This places it in the 39th percentile of its historical range, a reasonable but unremarkable position.

Our discounted cash flow model estimates TCI's intrinsic value at $38.90 per share, against the current market price of $35.42. This implies a premium to fair value of -40.26%. The current price sits well above what projected cash flows justify, implying investors are paying for growth that has not yet materialized.

Financial quality is a concern. The Piotroski F-Score of 0/9 flags weakening fundamentals that deserve closer scrutiny before the valuation case can be fully trusted.

Bottom line: TCI appears richly valued on our framework, with a Smart Value Score of 46/100. At current levels the risk/reward is skewed against the buyer. A materially lower price or significant operational improvement would be needed to change the picture.

Frequently asked questions

Is TCI overvalued in 2026?

Based on a Smart Value Score of 46/100, TCI appears overvalued. Current price exceeds what fundamentals currently justify.

What is TCI's fair value?

Our DCF model estimates TCI's intrinsic value at $38.90 per share, versus the current price of $35.42. This produces a margin of safety of -40.26%.

What P/E ratio does TCI trade at?

TCI trades at a P/E of 23.5x on trailing twelve-month earnings, compared to its 5-year median of 25.2x.

Is TCI a buy based on valuation?

WallStSmart does not issue buy or sell recommendations. Our Smart Value Score of 46/100 reflects the combined read on growth, quality, and price. The profile skews cautious. Consider waiting for a better price or clearer operational improvement.

How does TCI's valuation compare to its history?

On P/E, TCI currently sits in the 39th percentile of its own 5Y range. That is below its long-run median relative to where it has traded over the period.

What is TCI's Smart Value Score?

TCI's Smart Value Score is 46/100. The Smart Value Score is a proprietary WallStSmart metric blending growth quality, financial health, and valuation attractiveness into a single 0-100 read. Scores above 75 are rare and indicate strong multi-factor alignment.