SYM
Symbotic Inc
NASDAQ: SYM · INDUSTRIALS · SPECIALTY INDUSTRIAL MACHINERY
$51.71
+0.42% today
Updated 2026-06-04
Market cap
$25.85B
P/E ratio
—
P/S ratio
9.89x
EPS (TTM)
$-0.08
Dividend yield
—
52W range
$28 – $88
Volume
1.9M
Symbotic Inc (SYM) Financial Forecast & Price Target 2030
Research-backed projections from analyst consensus, management guidance, and sector analysis.
Research-backed SYM price target 2030 projection accounting for share dilution, balance sheet debt, and time value of money.
Current price
$51.71
Today
Analyst consensus
$65.62
+26.90% · 12M
2030 Base
$86.12
+66.54% future
NPV today
$43.97
@ 16% WACC
16 analysts:
7 Buy5 Hold5 Sell
Management guidance
No explicit long-term revenue targets disclosed by CEO Richard Cohen in recent guidance. Company provided Q3 FY2026 revenue guidance of $700M-$720M (representing ~3.5-4.5% sequential growth from Q2's $676.48M). Management has emphasized a substantial $22.4B backlog and multi-year deployment pipeline driven by Walmart's $520M commitment and expansion into adjacent verticals (healthcare logistics via Medline pilot, food distribution). The backlog-to-TTM revenue ratio of ~8.9x suggests multi-year visibility, but no specific CAGR or 2030 target articulated by management.
Sources: Management guidance, analyst consensus, sector analysishigh confidence
SYM · Symbotic Inc · Revenue & price projection · 2023–2030E
Actual / 2030 target Projected revenue Base case price Bull to bear range
Bear case (2030)
$86.12
NPV today: $43.97
Base case (2030)
$86.12
NPV today: $43.97
Bull case (2030)
$194.58
NPV today: $99.34
WallStSmart.com
SYM financial forecast · Research-backed projections
| Metric | 2025 | 2026 (E) | 2027 (E) | 2028 (E) | 2029 (E) | 2030 (E) ★ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $2.2B | $2.8B | $3.6B | $4.7B | $5.8B | $7.0B |
| Revenue growth | 25.7% | 25.2% | 28.7% | 29.3% | 25.0% | 19.8% |
| Net margin | — | 2.3% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.9% |
| EPS | $0.02 | $0.51 | $1.15 | $2.10 | $3.45 | $4.80 |
| Diluted shares | — | 128M | 128M | 128M | 129M | 129M |
| Net debt | — | $-2.04B | $-2.40B | $-2.86B | $-3.43B | $-4.12B |
| P/S multiple | — | 1.0x | 1.0x | 1.0x | 1.0x | 1.0x |
| Implied price (base) | — | $38.00 | $46.98 | $58.67 | $72.03 | $86.12 |
★ 2030E is the model's terminal target year. Implied price = (Revenue × P/S − Net debt) ÷ Diluted shares.
Scenario detail · Three drivers, three outcomes
| 2030E driver | Bear | Base | Bull |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $7.0B | $7.0B | $7.0B |
| P/S multiple | 1.0x | 1.0x | 3.0x |
| Diluted shares | 129M | 129M | 129M |
| Net debt | $-4.12B | $-4.12B | $-4.12B |
| Implied P/E † | 18x | 18x | 41x |
| 2030 Price | $86.12 | $86.12 | $194.58 |
| NPV @ 16% | $43.97 | $43.97 | $99.34 |
† Implied P/E: Multiples remain elevated across all three scenarios because SYM is valued primarily on revenue scale during its growth phase, not near-term earnings power. Lower P/E in the bear case reflects multiple compression, but the absolute level stays high since 2030E still represents a hypergrowth-to-mature transition year.
EV to per-share bridge · How we get to $86.12 base case
SYM catalysts and risks
Growth catalysts
+ Execution of $22.4B contracted backlog with Walmart (primary customer) and emerging deployments across retail, food distribution, and healthcare (Medline pilot by 2027)
+ Profitability inflection: Q2 2026 net income of $1.97M signals near-term positive operating leverage; achievement of 5-10% net margins by 2028-2029 would validate business model
+ Market share expansion in warehouse automation TAM (estimated $12-15B addressable market by 2030) via technology differentiation and customer wins beyond Walmart concentration risk
+ AI/robotics industry adoption acceleration: recognition as 'Most Innovative Company' (Fast Company 2026) supports premium valuation as category leader
Key risks
- Walmart concentration: $520M stake and estimated 55-65% of revenue creates execution/customer concentration risk; any slowdown in Walmart capex directly impacts SYM deployments
- Deployment delays: backlog conversion timing is uncertain; multi-year projects can slip, creating revenue volatility and pushing guidance misses
- Profitability persistence: company remains near breakeven on trailing basis (-0.3% profit margin TTM); rising SG&A and R&D spending could prevent margin expansion even as revenues grow
- Competitive entry: larger industrial automation peers (Rockwell, AMETEK, Dover) could enter warehouse automation, compressing SYM's pricing and market share
- Valuation risk: P/S of 11.96x and forward P/E of 69.88x price in aggressive growth; any 2027-2028 deceleration below 25% CAGR would trigger multiple compression
Methodology · Symbotic Inc 2030 stock forecast model
Symbotic Inc 2030 price target is calculated using WallStSmart's research model. Revenue projections are derived from analyst consensus across 16 Wall Street analysts, management guidance from the latest earnings call, and sector growth forecasts. The model is built on five core components:
| 1. Share dilution | Projected from per-ticker schedule of SBC + equity raise activity, compounding year by year (2% cumulative for SYM by 2030) |
| 2. Net debt | EV minus net debt yields equity value; debt projected from capex cycle trajectory ($-4.12B by 2030) |
| 3. Time value | NPV calculated using 16% WACC (CAPM: beta 2.04) |
| 4. Multiple framework | P/S compresses with scale: bear 1.0x / base 1.0x / bull 3.0x |
| 5. Scenario design | Bull/Base/Bear vary revenue, margin, shares, debt, and multiple independently |
WallStSmart research model · Not financial advice · Past performance is not indicative of future results · Last researched: May 21, 2026.
SYM price target FAQ
What is the SYM price target for 2030?
WallStSmart's Symbotic Inc 2030 base case is $86.12 per share, with a bull case of $194.58 and bear case of $86.12. The NPV of the base case discounted to today at 16% WACC is $43.97.
How is the Symbotic Inc 2030 stock forecast calculated?
The SYM 2030 projection multiplies projected revenue by a growth-adjusted P/S multiple to derive enterprise value, subtracts projected net debt to get equity value, then divides by diluted shares outstanding accounting for dilution from stock-based compensation and equity raises.
Why does the SYM price target account for dilution?
Symbotic Inc is projected to grow diluted share count from 127M to 129M by 2030 (a 2% increase) through stock-based compensation and capital raises. Ignoring this would inflate the price target by approximately 2%.
What is the analyst consensus on SYM stock?
16 analysts cover SYM with an average 12-month price target of $65.62. The 2030 projection extends this framework with longer-horizon assumptions including dilution and time value of money.