WallStSmart
SGHC

SGHC Limited

NYSE: SGHC · CONSUMER CYCLICAL · GAMBLING

$12.96
+1.33% today

Updated 2026-04-30

Market cap
$6.27B
P/E ratio
28.70
P/S ratio
2.81x
EPS (TTM)
$0.43
Dividend yield
1.36%
52W range
$8 – $14
Volume
3.0M

SGHC Limited (SGHC) Stock Valuation Analysis

Fair value estimate, historical valuation range, and quality signals for SGHC.

WallStSmart Verdict
Overvalued

Current price exceeds what fundamentals support. Risk/reward skewed unfavorably.

Smart Value Score: 38 / 100
P/E (TTM)
28.7x
vs 5Y median of 25.6x
PEG
Margin of Safety
-13.45%
Fair value $7.51 vs $12.96
EV / EBITDA
0.0x

SGHC historical valuation range

Where current P/E sits in SGHC's own 5Y range.

NOW
5.4x
5Y Low
16.8x
25th
25.6x
Median
29.0x
75th
97.4x
5Y High
SGHC is trading more expensive than 68% of the last 5Y.
68th percentile · Above median

SGHC intrinsic value (DCF)

DCF-based fair value estimate vs current market price.

Current price
$12.96
Market value
Intrinsic value
$7.51
DCF estimate
Margin of safety
-13.45%
-42.1% upside to fair value

Intrinsic value calculated using discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on projected free cash flows, discount rate, and terminal growth assumptions. A positive margin of safety indicates the current price is below estimated fair value, providing a cushion against estimation error.

SGHC valuation signals

Quick-read green flags, caution flags, and risks based on current metrics.

!
P/E in mid-range
P/E sits at the 68th percentile of the 5Y range. Neither cheap nor rich historically.
Premium to fair value
Price exceeds DCF intrinsic value by 13.4%. Limited downside protection.
Weak financial quality
Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 suggests deteriorating fundamentals. Valuation requires closer scrutiny.

P/E Ratio — History

Current: 28.70x

P/S Ratio — History

Current: 2.81x

Is SGHC overvalued in 2026?

SGHC Limited (SGHC) currently trades at $12.96 per share with a market capitalization of $6,269,668,000.00. Based on our multi-factor framework, the stock appears richly valued with a Smart Value Score of 38/100. This score blends growth quality, financial health, and price attractiveness into a single institutional-grade read.

The stock trades at a P/E ratio of 28.7x, above its 5-year median of 25.6x.

Looking at its own history, SGHC is currently trading more expensive than 68% of the last 5Y on P/E. This places it in the 68th percentile of its historical range, a reasonable but unremarkable position.

Our discounted cash flow model estimates SGHC's intrinsic value at $7.51 per share, against the current market price of $12.96. This implies a premium to fair value of -13.45%. The current price sits well above what projected cash flows justify, implying investors are paying for growth that has not yet materialized.

Financial quality is a concern. The Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weakening fundamentals that deserve closer scrutiny before the valuation case can be fully trusted.

Bottom line: SGHC appears richly valued on our framework, with a Smart Value Score of 38/100. At current levels the risk/reward is skewed against the buyer. A materially lower price or significant operational improvement would be needed to change the picture.

Frequently asked questions

Is SGHC overvalued in 2026?

Based on a Smart Value Score of 38/100, SGHC appears overvalued. Current price exceeds what fundamentals currently justify.

What is SGHC's fair value?

Our DCF model estimates SGHC's intrinsic value at $7.51 per share, versus the current price of $12.96. This produces a margin of safety of -13.45%.

What P/E ratio does SGHC trade at?

SGHC trades at a P/E of 28.7x on trailing twelve-month earnings, compared to its 5-year median of 25.6x.

Is SGHC a buy based on valuation?

WallStSmart does not issue buy or sell recommendations. Our Smart Value Score of 38/100 reflects the combined read on growth, quality, and price. The profile skews cautious. Consider waiting for a better price or clearer operational improvement.

How does SGHC's valuation compare to its history?

On P/E, SGHC currently sits in the 68th percentile of its own 5Y range. That is above its long-run median relative to where it has traded over the period.

What is SGHC's Smart Value Score?

SGHC's Smart Value Score is 38/100. The Smart Value Score is a proprietary WallStSmart metric blending growth quality, financial health, and valuation attractiveness into a single 0-100 read. Scores above 75 are rare and indicate strong multi-factor alignment.