WallStSmart
RUN

Sunrun Inc

NASDAQ: RUN · TECHNOLOGY · SOLAR

$14.47
-9.89% today

Updated 2026-06-05

Market cap
$3.07B
P/E ratio
6.05
P/S ratio
0.97x
EPS (TTM)
$2.13
Dividend yield
52W range
$5 – $22
Volume
8.5M

Sunrun Inc (RUN) Stock Valuation Analysis

Fair value estimate, historical valuation range, and quality signals for RUN.

WallStSmart Verdict
Fairly
Valued

Valuation reasonably reflects current fundamentals. Limited margin of safety at these levels.

Smart Value Score: 68 / 100
P/E (TTM)
6.0x
vs 5Y median of 7.5x
PEG
3.07
Elevated vs growth
Margin of Safety
+51.70%
Fair value $39.67 vs $14.47
EV / EBITDA
0.0x

RUN historical valuation range

Where current P/E sits in RUN's own 5Y range.

NOW
6.0x
5Y Low
6.9x
25th
7.5x
Median
9.3x
75th
95.1x
5Y High
RUN is trading cheaper than 93% of the last 5Y.
7th percentile · Historically cheap

RUN intrinsic value (DCF)

DCF-based fair value estimate vs current market price.

Current price
$14.47
Market value
Intrinsic value
$39.67
DCF estimate
Margin of safety
+51.70%
+174.2% upside to fair value

Intrinsic value calculated using discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on projected free cash flows, discount rate, and terminal growth assumptions. A positive margin of safety indicates the current price is below estimated fair value, providing a cushion against estimation error.

RUN valuation signals

Quick-read green flags, caution flags, and risks based on current metrics.

PEG above 2.0
PEG of 3.07 suggests price is running ahead of growth rate. Caution warranted.
P/E near 5Y low
Current P/E sits in the 7th percentile of its 5Y range. Historically cheap relative to its own history.
Strong margin of safety
Current price 51.7% below DCF intrinsic value estimate. Meaningful downside cushion.

P/E Ratio — History

Current: 6.05x

P/S Ratio — History

Current: 0.97x

Is RUN overvalued in 2026?

Sunrun Inc (RUN) currently trades at $14.47 per share with a market capitalization of $3,074,900,000.00. Based on our multi-factor framework, the stock trades at a fair valuation with a Smart Value Score of 68/100. This score blends growth quality, financial health, and price attractiveness into a single institutional-grade read.

The stock trades at a P/E ratio of 6.0x, below its 5-year median of 7.5x. The PEG ratio of 3.07 indicates the price has run ahead of the underlying growth rate.

Looking at its own history, RUN is currently trading cheaper than 93% of the last 5Y on P/E. This places it in the 7th percentile of its historical range, a level that has historically coincided with attractive entry points.

Our discounted cash flow model estimates RUN's intrinsic value at $39.67 per share, against the current market price of $14.47. This implies a margin of safety of +51.70%. A meaningful cushion exists against model error, making this a reasonable risk-adjusted entry.

The Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 puts financial quality in a middling range, neither a standout strength nor an obvious red flag.

Bottom line: RUN trades at a fair valuation on our framework, with a Smart Value Score of 68/100. The valuation is defensible but offers no obvious bargain. Patience or a better entry price may reward disciplined buyers.

Frequently asked questions

Is RUN overvalued?

RUN scores 68/100 on our Smart Value Score (Grade B), a mixed overall profile. The DCF also shows a positive margin of safety, so price and fundamentals line up reasonably well.

What is RUN's fair value?

Our DCF model estimates RUN's intrinsic value at $39.67 per share, versus the current price of $14.47, a margin of safety of +51.70%. Fair value is the present value of the cash flows we project the business to produce, so a price below it means the market is pricing the stock below that conservative estimate.

What P/E ratio does RUN trade at?

RUN trades at a P/E of 6.0x on trailing twelve-month earnings, against a 5-year median of 7.5x. P/E is what you pay per dollar of profit, and sitting below its own median means the stock is cheaper than usual relative to its earnings.

Is RUN a buy based on valuation?

Our Smart Value rating for RUN is Buy, from a Smart Value Score of 68/100 that blends growth, quality, and valuation. The profile is balanced and best suited to investors who already have a thesis. This is research to inform your decision, not personalized financial advice.

How does RUN's valuation compare to its history?

On P/E, RUN sits in the 7th percentile of its own 5Y range, historically cheap relative to where it has traded. A low percentile means today's multiple is near the bottom of its historical band.

What is RUN's Smart Value Score?

RUN's Smart Value Score is 68/100. It is a proprietary WallStSmart metric blending growth quality, financial health, and valuation into a single 0-100 read, and scores above 75 are rare, signaling strong multi-factor alignment.