WallStSmart
PD

Pagerduty Inc

NYSE: PD · TECHNOLOGY · SOFTWARE - APPLICATION

$6.90
-2.63% today

Updated 2026-06-05

Market cap
$767.37M
P/E ratio
4.81
P/S ratio
1.55x
EPS (TTM)
$2.07
Dividend yield
52W range
$6 – $18
Volume
2.4M

Pagerduty Inc (PD) Stock Valuation Analysis

Fair value estimate, historical valuation range, and quality signals for PD.

WallStSmart Verdict
Fairly
Valued

Valuation reasonably reflects current fundamentals. Limited margin of safety at these levels.

Smart Value Score: 52 / 100
P/E (TTM)
4.8x
vs 5Y median of 3.8x
PEG
Margin of Safety
+82.34%
Fair value $40.27 vs $6.90
EV / EBITDA
13.1x

PD historical valuation range

Where current P/E sits in PD's own 5Y range.

NOW
3.1x
5Y Low
3.5x
25th
3.8x
Median
4.4x
75th
10.0x
5Y High
PD is trading more expensive than 82% of the last 5Y.
82th percentile · Historically expensive

PD intrinsic value (DCF)

DCF-based fair value estimate vs current market price.

Current price
$6.90
Market value
Intrinsic value
$40.27
DCF estimate
Margin of safety
+82.34%
+483.6% upside to fair value

Intrinsic value calculated using discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on projected free cash flows, discount rate, and terminal growth assumptions. A positive margin of safety indicates the current price is below estimated fair value, providing a cushion against estimation error.

PD valuation signals

Quick-read green flags, caution flags, and risks based on current metrics.

P/E near 5Y high
Current P/E sits in the 82th percentile of its 5Y range. Historically expensive relative to its own history.
Strong margin of safety
Current price 82.3% below DCF intrinsic value estimate. Meaningful downside cushion.

P/E Ratio — History

Current: 4.81x

P/S Ratio — History

Current: 1.55x

Is PD overvalued in 2026?

Pagerduty Inc (PD) currently trades at $6.90 per share with a market capitalization of $767,370,000.00. Based on our multi-factor framework, the stock trades at a fair valuation with a Smart Value Score of 52/100. This score blends growth quality, financial health, and price attractiveness into a single institutional-grade read.

The stock trades at a P/E ratio of 4.8x, above its 5-year median of 3.8x.

Looking at its own history, PD is currently trading more expensive than 82% of the last 5Y on P/E. This places it in the 82th percentile of its historical range, a zone where forward returns have typically been muted.

Our discounted cash flow model estimates PD's intrinsic value at $40.27 per share, against the current market price of $6.90. This implies a margin of safety of +82.34%. A meaningful cushion exists against model error, making this a reasonable risk-adjusted entry.

The Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 puts financial quality in a middling range, neither a standout strength nor an obvious red flag.

Bottom line: PD trades at a fair valuation on our framework, with a Smart Value Score of 52/100. The valuation is defensible but offers no obvious bargain. Patience or a better entry price may reward disciplined buyers.

Frequently asked questions

Is PD overvalued?

PD scores 52/100 on our Smart Value Score (Grade C), a mixed overall profile. The DCF also shows a positive margin of safety, so price and fundamentals line up reasonably well.

What is PD's fair value?

Our DCF model estimates PD's intrinsic value at $40.27 per share, versus the current price of $6.90, a margin of safety of +82.34%. Fair value is the present value of the cash flows we project the business to produce, so a price below it means the market is pricing the stock below that conservative estimate.

What P/E ratio does PD trade at?

PD trades at a P/E of 4.8x on trailing twelve-month earnings, against a 5-year median of 3.8x. P/E is what you pay per dollar of profit, and sitting above its own median means the stock is pricier than usual relative to its earnings.

Is PD a buy based on valuation?

Our Smart Value rating for PD is Hold, from a Smart Value Score of 52/100 that blends growth, quality, and valuation. The profile is balanced and best suited to investors who already have a thesis. This is research to inform your decision, not personalized financial advice.

How does PD's valuation compare to its history?

On P/E, PD sits in the 82nd percentile of its own 5Y range, historically expensive relative to where it has traded. A high percentile means today's multiple is near the top of its historical band.

What is PD's Smart Value Score?

PD's Smart Value Score is 52/100. It is a proprietary WallStSmart metric blending growth quality, financial health, and valuation into a single 0-100 read, and scores above 75 are rare, signaling strong multi-factor alignment.