WallStSmart
OPXS

Optex Systems Holdings, Inc. Common Stock

NASDAQ: OPXS · INDUSTRIALS · AEROSPACE & DEFENSE

$10.74
+6.55% today

Updated 2026-04-30

Market cap
$74.65M
P/E ratio
16.55
P/S ratio
1.77x
EPS (TTM)
$0.65
Dividend yield
52W range
$6 – $18
Volume
0.0M

Optex Systems Holdings, Inc. Common Stock (OPXS) Stock Valuation Analysis

Fair value estimate, historical valuation range, and quality signals for OPXS.

WallStSmart Verdict
Overvalued

Current price exceeds what fundamentals support. Risk/reward skewed unfavorably.

Smart Value Score: 46 / 100
P/E (TTM)
16.6x
vs 5Y median of 16.3x
PEG
Margin of Safety
+3.55%
Fair value $14.93 vs $10.74
EV / EBITDA
0.0x

OPXS historical valuation range

Where current P/E sits in OPXS's own 5Y range.

NOW
7.9x
5Y Low
12.6x
25th
16.3x
Median
18.0x
75th
32.3x
5Y High
OPXS is trading more expensive than 56% of the last 5Y.
56th percentile · Above median

OPXS intrinsic value (DCF)

DCF-based fair value estimate vs current market price.

Current price
$10.74
Market value
Intrinsic value
$14.93
DCF estimate
Margin of safety
+3.55%
+39.0% upside to fair value

Intrinsic value calculated using discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on projected free cash flows, discount rate, and terminal growth assumptions. A positive margin of safety indicates the current price is below estimated fair value, providing a cushion against estimation error.

OPXS valuation signals

Quick-read green flags, caution flags, and risks based on current metrics.

!
P/E in mid-range
P/E sits at the 56th percentile of the 5Y range. Neither cheap nor rich historically.
!
Near fair value
+3.55% margin of safety. Price is close to DCF estimate.

P/E Ratio — History

Current: 16.55x

P/S Ratio — History

Current: 1.76x

Is OPXS overvalued in 2026?

Optex Systems Holdings, Inc. Common Stock (OPXS) currently trades at $10.74 per share with a market capitalization of $74,646,000.00. Based on our multi-factor framework, the stock appears richly valued with a Smart Value Score of 46/100. This score blends growth quality, financial health, and price attractiveness into a single institutional-grade read.

The stock trades at a P/E ratio of 16.6x, above its 5-year median of 16.3x.

Looking at its own history, OPXS is currently trading more expensive than 56% of the last 5Y on P/E. This places it in the 56th percentile of its historical range, a reasonable but unremarkable position.

Our discounted cash flow model estimates OPXS's intrinsic value at $14.93 per share, against the current market price of $10.74. This implies a margin of safety of +3.55%. The stock is priced close to its estimated fair value, offering limited upside without further operational improvement.

The Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 puts financial quality in a middling range, neither a standout strength nor an obvious red flag.

Bottom line: OPXS appears richly valued on our framework, with a Smart Value Score of 46/100. At current levels the risk/reward is skewed against the buyer. A materially lower price or significant operational improvement would be needed to change the picture.

Frequently asked questions

Is OPXS overvalued in 2026?

Based on a Smart Value Score of 46/100, OPXS appears overvalued. Current price exceeds what fundamentals currently justify.

What is OPXS's fair value?

Our DCF model estimates OPXS's intrinsic value at $14.93 per share, versus the current price of $10.74. This produces a margin of safety of +3.55%.

What P/E ratio does OPXS trade at?

OPXS trades at a P/E of 16.6x on trailing twelve-month earnings, compared to its 5-year median of 16.3x.

Is OPXS a buy based on valuation?

WallStSmart does not issue buy or sell recommendations. Our Smart Value Score of 46/100 reflects the combined read on growth, quality, and price. The profile skews cautious. Consider waiting for a better price or clearer operational improvement.

How does OPXS's valuation compare to its history?

On P/E, OPXS currently sits in the 56th percentile of its own 5Y range. That is above its long-run median relative to where it has traded over the period.

What is OPXS's Smart Value Score?

OPXS's Smart Value Score is 46/100. The Smart Value Score is a proprietary WallStSmart metric blending growth quality, financial health, and valuation attractiveness into a single 0-100 read. Scores above 75 are rare and indicate strong multi-factor alignment.