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ON Semiconductor Corporation

NASDAQ: ON · TECHNOLOGY · SEMICONDUCTORS

$98.86
+5.96% today

Updated 2026-04-29

Market cap
$38.88B
P/E ratio
340.90
P/S ratio
6.49x
EPS (TTM)
$0.29
Dividend yield
52W range
$37 – $101
Volume
8.5M

ON Semiconductor Corporation (ON) Financial Forecast & Price Target 2030

Research-backed projections from analyst consensus, management guidance, and sector analysis.

Price target summary

Current
$98.86
Consensus
$64.46
-34.80%
2030 Target
DCF
25 analysts:
10 Buy15 Hold0 Sell

Management guidance

CEO Hassane El-Khoury has not provided specific revenue targets through 2030 in available earnings calls or investor guidance. Management is focused on silicon carbide expansion, automotive/industrial markets, and renewable energy partnerships (e.g., Sineng Electric design win for 350 kW solar inverters). Near-term 2026 guidance implies modest recovery from 2025 weakness, with management emphasizing inventory normalization and segment stabilization rather than aggressive growth targets.

Sources: Management guidance, analyst consensus, sector analysishigh confidence

Revenue & price projection

Actual revenue Projected revenue Base case Bull to bear range
Bull case (2030)
$416.67
Base case (2030)
$248.76
Bear case (2030)
$167.91

Financial forecast — research-backed

Metric2023202420252026 (E)2027 (E)2028 (E)2029 (E)
Revenue$8.3B$7.1B$6.0B$6.5B$7.0B$7.7B$8.4B
Revenue growth-14.2%-15.3%7.8%8.8%8.7%9.3%
EPS$5.16$3.98$2.35$3.00$4.15$4.80$5.60
P/S ratio12.0x12.0x12.0x12.0x
Implied price$192.79$211.45$230.10$248.76

Catalysts & risks

Growth catalysts
+ Silicon carbide (SiC) market expansion in EV and renewable energy sectors (350+ kW solar inverter adoption)
+ Automotive inventory normalization and recovery in power/analog segments post-2025 downcycle
+ AI data center edge computing and power delivery opportunities (EliteSiC IGBT modules)
+ IoT and industrial automation recovery as macroeconomic conditions stabilize
+ Margin expansion as manufacturing footprint optimization and product mix improve
Key risks
- Semiconductor sector cyclicality — 2025 showed -15.35% revenue decline; recovery pace uncertain
- Geopolitical/trade tensions affecting China exposure and supply chain (recent Iran conflict concerns noted)
- EV adoption slowdown impacting automotive segment (largest customer base)
- Competitive intensity from NXP, STM, GLOBALFOUNDRIES in power/analog and SiC markets
- 2.0% net profit margin is critically thin — operating leverage required for profitability
- High analyst target spread ($55–$75 = 36% range) reflects significant uncertainty

Methodology

ON Semiconductor Corporation's forward estimates are derived from AI-powered research synthesis combining analyst consensus from 25 Wall Street analysts, management guidance from the latest earnings call, and sector growth forecasts from industry research. Revenue and EPS projections use analyst consensus where available and conservative extrapolation with growth deceleration for outer years. Price targets are calculated using a tiered Price-to-Sales (P/S) methodology, where the P/S multiple is determined by the projected revenue growth rate.

WallStSmart proprietary research model · Not financial advice · Past performance is not indicative of future results · Last researched: April 7, 2026.