WallStSmart
NVS

Novartis AG ADR

NYSE: NVS · HEALTHCARE · DRUG MANUFACTURERS - GENERAL

$147.85
+3.44% today

Updated 2026-04-30

Market cap
$280.79B
P/E ratio
20.32
P/S ratio
4.96x
EPS (TTM)
$7.16
Dividend yield
3.26%
52W range
$102 – $165
Volume
2.1M

Novartis AG ADR (NVS) Stock Valuation Analysis

Fair value estimate, historical valuation range, and quality signals for NVS.

WallStSmart Verdict
Fairly
Valued

Valuation reasonably reflects current fundamentals. Limited margin of safety at these levels.

Smart Value Score: 51 / 100
P/E (TTM)
20.3x
vs 5Y median of 17.4x
PEG
2.53
Elevated vs growth
Margin of Safety
-52.22%
Fair value $109.78 vs $147.85
EV / EBITDA
13.1x

NVS historical valuation range

Where current P/E sits in NVS's own 5Y range.

NOW
7.4x
5Y Low
16.6x
25th
17.4x
Median
20.8x
75th
27.2x
5Y High
NVS is trading more expensive than 71% of the last 5Y.
71th percentile · Above median

NVS intrinsic value (DCF)

DCF-based fair value estimate vs current market price.

Current price
$147.85
Market value
Intrinsic value
$109.78
DCF estimate
Margin of safety
-52.22%
-25.7% upside to fair value

Intrinsic value calculated using discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on projected free cash flows, discount rate, and terminal growth assumptions. A positive margin of safety indicates the current price is below estimated fair value, providing a cushion against estimation error.

NVS valuation signals

Quick-read green flags, caution flags, and risks based on current metrics.

PEG above 2.0
PEG of 2.53 suggests price is running ahead of growth rate. Caution warranted.
!
P/E in mid-range
P/E sits at the 71th percentile of the 5Y range. Neither cheap nor rich historically.
Premium to fair value
Price exceeds DCF intrinsic value by 52.2%. Limited downside protection.

P/E Ratio — History

Current: 20.32x

P/S Ratio — History

Current: 4.96x

Is NVS overvalued in 2026?

Novartis AG ADR (NVS) currently trades at $147.85 per share with a market capitalization of $280,792,531,000.00. Based on our multi-factor framework, the stock trades at a fair valuation with a Smart Value Score of 51/100. This score blends growth quality, financial health, and price attractiveness into a single institutional-grade read.

The stock trades at a P/E ratio of 20.3x, above its 5-year median of 17.4x. The PEG ratio of 2.53 indicates the price has run ahead of the underlying growth rate.

Looking at its own history, NVS is currently trading more expensive than 71% of the last 5Y on P/E. This places it in the 71th percentile of its historical range, a reasonable but unremarkable position.

Our discounted cash flow model estimates NVS's intrinsic value at $109.78 per share, against the current market price of $147.85. This implies a premium to fair value of -52.22%. The current price sits well above what projected cash flows justify, implying investors are paying for growth that has not yet materialized.

The Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 puts financial quality in a middling range, neither a standout strength nor an obvious red flag.

Bottom line: NVS trades at a fair valuation on our framework, with a Smart Value Score of 51/100. The valuation is defensible but offers no obvious bargain. Patience or a better entry price may reward disciplined buyers.

Frequently asked questions

Is NVS overvalued in 2026?

Based on a Smart Value Score of 51/100, NVS is fairly valued. Price reasonably reflects current fundamentals with limited cushion in either direction.

What is NVS's fair value?

Our DCF model estimates NVS's intrinsic value at $109.78 per share, versus the current price of $147.85. This produces a margin of safety of -52.22%.

What P/E ratio does NVS trade at?

NVS trades at a P/E of 20.3x on trailing twelve-month earnings, compared to its 5-year median of 17.4x.

Is NVS a buy based on valuation?

WallStSmart does not issue buy or sell recommendations. Our Smart Value Score of 51/100 reflects the combined read on growth, quality, and price. The profile is balanced. Best suited for investors with an existing thesis.

How does NVS's valuation compare to its history?

On P/E, NVS currently sits in the 71th percentile of its own 5Y range. That is above its long-run median relative to where it has traded over the period.

What is NVS's Smart Value Score?

NVS's Smart Value Score is 51/100. The Smart Value Score is a proprietary WallStSmart metric blending growth quality, financial health, and valuation attractiveness into a single 0-100 read. Scores above 75 are rare and indicate strong multi-factor alignment.