WallStSmart
NTCT

NetScout Systems Inc

NASDAQ: NTCT · TECHNOLOGY · SOFTWARE - INFRASTRUCTURE

$40.67
-3.82% today

Updated 2026-06-05

Market cap
$2.98B
P/E ratio
32.02
P/S ratio
3.46x
EPS (TTM)
$1.30
Dividend yield
52W range
$20 – $43
Volume
0.6M

NetScout Systems Inc (NTCT) Stock Valuation Analysis

Fair value estimate, historical valuation range, and quality signals for NTCT.

WallStSmart Verdict
Overvalued

Current price exceeds what fundamentals support. Risk/reward skewed unfavorably.

Smart Value Score: 47 / 100
P/E (TTM)
32.0x
vs 5Y median of 31.1x
PEG
1.64
Fair range
Margin of Safety
+36.19%
Fair value $44.15 vs $40.67
EV / EBITDA
0.0x

NTCT historical valuation range

Where current P/E sits in NTCT's own 5Y range.

NOW
20.8x
5Y Low
24.9x
25th
31.1x
Median
43.7x
75th
83.9x
5Y High
NTCT is trading more expensive than 61% of the last 5Y.
61th percentile · Above median

NTCT intrinsic value (DCF)

DCF-based fair value estimate vs current market price.

Current price
$40.67
Market value
Intrinsic value
$44.15
DCF estimate
Margin of safety
+36.19%
+8.6% upside to fair value

Intrinsic value calculated using discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on projected free cash flows, discount rate, and terminal growth assumptions. A positive margin of safety indicates the current price is below estimated fair value, providing a cushion against estimation error.

NTCT valuation signals

Quick-read green flags, caution flags, and risks based on current metrics.

!
PEG in fair range
PEG of 1.64 suggests price reflects growth fairly. Neither a bargain nor overpriced.
!
P/E in mid-range
P/E sits at the 61th percentile of the 5Y range. Neither cheap nor rich historically.
Strong margin of safety
Current price 36.2% below DCF intrinsic value estimate. Meaningful downside cushion.

P/E Ratio — History

Current: 32.02x

P/S Ratio — History

Current: 3.46x

Is NTCT overvalued in 2026?

NetScout Systems Inc (NTCT) currently trades at $40.67 per share with a market capitalization of $2,975,631,000.00. Based on our multi-factor framework, the stock appears richly valued with a Smart Value Score of 47/100. This score blends growth quality, financial health, and price attractiveness into a single institutional-grade read.

The stock trades at a P/E ratio of 32.0x, above its 5-year median of 31.1x. The PEG ratio of 1.64 points to a price that reasonably reflects expected earnings growth.

Looking at its own history, NTCT is currently trading more expensive than 61% of the last 5Y on P/E. This places it in the 61th percentile of its historical range, a reasonable but unremarkable position.

Our discounted cash flow model estimates NTCT's intrinsic value at $44.15 per share, against the current market price of $40.67. This implies a margin of safety of +36.19%. A meaningful cushion exists against model error, making this a reasonable risk-adjusted entry.

The Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 puts financial quality in a middling range, neither a standout strength nor an obvious red flag.

Bottom line: NTCT appears richly valued on our framework, with a Smart Value Score of 47/100. At current levels the risk/reward is skewed against the buyer. A materially lower price or significant operational improvement would be needed to change the picture.

Frequently asked questions

Is NTCT overvalued?

NTCT scores 47/100 on our Smart Value Score (Grade C), a weak overall profile. The DCF also shows a positive margin of safety, so price and fundamentals line up reasonably well.

What is NTCT's fair value?

Our DCF model estimates NTCT's intrinsic value at $44.15 per share, versus the current price of $40.67, a margin of safety of +36.19%. Fair value is the present value of the cash flows we project the business to produce, so a price below it means the market is pricing the stock below that conservative estimate.

What P/E ratio does NTCT trade at?

NTCT trades at a P/E of 32.0x on trailing twelve-month earnings, against a 5-year median of 31.1x. P/E is what you pay per dollar of profit, and sitting above its own median means the stock is pricier than usual relative to its earnings.

Is NTCT a buy based on valuation?

Our Smart Value rating for NTCT is Sell, from a Smart Value Score of 47/100 that blends growth, quality, and valuation. The profile skews cautious, and a better price or clearer operating improvement would strengthen the case. This is research to inform your decision, not personalized financial advice.

How does NTCT's valuation compare to its history?

On P/E, NTCT sits in the 61st percentile of its own 5Y range, above its long-run median relative to where it has traded. A high percentile means today's multiple is near the top of its historical band.

What is NTCT's Smart Value Score?

NTCT's Smart Value Score is 47/100. It is a proprietary WallStSmart metric blending growth quality, financial health, and valuation into a single 0-100 read, and scores above 75 are rare, signaling strong multi-factor alignment.