WallStSmart
NREF

Nexpoint Real Estate Finance Inc

NYSE: NREF · REAL ESTATE · REIT - MORTGAGE

$15.51
+1.51% today

Updated 2026-05-06

Market cap
$349.50M
P/E ratio
5.36
P/S ratio
2.25x
EPS (TTM)
$2.85
Dividend yield
13.50%
52W range
$12 – $16
Volume
0.1M

Nexpoint Real Estate Finance Inc (NREF) Stock Valuation Analysis

Fair value estimate, historical valuation range, and quality signals for NREF.

WallStSmart Verdict
Fairly
Valued

Valuation reasonably reflects current fundamentals. Limited margin of safety at these levels.

Smart Value Score: 58 / 100
P/E (TTM)
5.4x
vs 5Y median of 5.7x
PEG
Margin of Safety
+74.66%
Fair value $58.79 vs $15.51
EV / EBITDA
0.0x

NREF historical valuation range

Where current P/E sits in NREF's own 5Y range.

NOW
4.8x
5Y Low
4.9x
25th
5.7x
Median
14.9x
75th
49.6x
5Y High
NREF is trading cheaper than 56% of the last 5Y.
44th percentile · Below median

NREF intrinsic value (DCF)

DCF-based fair value estimate vs current market price.

Current price
$15.51
Market value
Intrinsic value
$58.79
DCF estimate
Margin of safety
+74.66%
+279.0% upside to fair value

Intrinsic value calculated using discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on projected free cash flows, discount rate, and terminal growth assumptions. A positive margin of safety indicates the current price is below estimated fair value, providing a cushion against estimation error.

NREF valuation signals

Quick-read green flags, caution flags, and risks based on current metrics.

!
P/E in mid-range
P/E sits at the 44th percentile of the 5Y range. Neither cheap nor rich historically.
Strong margin of safety
Current price 74.7% below DCF intrinsic value estimate. Meaningful downside cushion.

P/E Ratio — History

Current: 5.36x

P/S Ratio — History

Current: 2.25x

Is NREF overvalued in 2026?

Nexpoint Real Estate Finance Inc (NREF) currently trades at $15.51 per share with a market capitalization of $349,501,000.00. Based on our multi-factor framework, the stock trades at a fair valuation with a Smart Value Score of 58/100. This score blends growth quality, financial health, and price attractiveness into a single institutional-grade read.

The stock trades at a P/E ratio of 5.4x, below its 5-year median of 5.7x.

Looking at its own history, NREF is currently trading cheaper than 56% of the last 5Y on P/E. This places it in the 44th percentile of its historical range, a reasonable but unremarkable position.

Our discounted cash flow model estimates NREF's intrinsic value at $58.79 per share, against the current market price of $15.51. This implies a margin of safety of +74.66%. A meaningful cushion exists against model error, making this a reasonable risk-adjusted entry.

The Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 puts financial quality in a middling range, neither a standout strength nor an obvious red flag.

Bottom line: NREF trades at a fair valuation on our framework, with a Smart Value Score of 58/100. The valuation is defensible but offers no obvious bargain. Patience or a better entry price may reward disciplined buyers.

Frequently asked questions

Is NREF overvalued in 2026?

Based on a Smart Value Score of 58/100, NREF is fairly valued. Price reasonably reflects current fundamentals with limited cushion in either direction.

What is NREF's fair value?

Our DCF model estimates NREF's intrinsic value at $58.79 per share, versus the current price of $15.51. This produces a margin of safety of +74.66%.

What P/E ratio does NREF trade at?

NREF trades at a P/E of 5.4x on trailing twelve-month earnings, compared to its 5-year median of 5.7x.

Is NREF a buy based on valuation?

WallStSmart does not issue buy or sell recommendations. Our Smart Value Score of 58/100 reflects the combined read on growth, quality, and price. The profile is balanced. Best suited for investors with an existing thesis.

How does NREF's valuation compare to its history?

On P/E, NREF currently sits in the 44th percentile of its own 5Y range. That is below its long-run median relative to where it has traded over the period.

What is NREF's Smart Value Score?

NREF's Smart Value Score is 58/100. The Smart Value Score is a proprietary WallStSmart metric blending growth quality, financial health, and valuation attractiveness into a single 0-100 read. Scores above 75 are rare and indicate strong multi-factor alignment.