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MLM

Martin Marietta Materials Inc

NYSE: MLM · BASIC MATERIALS · BUILDING MATERIALS

$619.07
+1.01% today

Updated 2026-04-30

Market cap
$37.03B
P/E ratio
37.30
P/S ratio
6.02x
EPS (TTM)
$16.46
Dividend yield
0.53%
52W range
$520 – $710
Volume
0.5M

Martin Marietta Materials Inc (MLM) Financial Forecast & Price Target 2030

Research-backed projections from analyst consensus, management guidance, and sector analysis.

Price target summary

Current
$619.07
Consensus
$689.64
+11.40%
2030 Target
$1,851.26
+199.04%
DCF
14 analysts:
4 Buy5 Hold1 Sell

Management guidance

Management has provided modest 2026 guidance amid infrastructure timing uncertainty. CEO commentary indicates cautious near-term outlook with potential acceleration tied to federal infrastructure spending and data center construction demand. No specific multi-year revenue targets disclosed in recent earnings calls.

Sources: Management guidance, analyst consensus, sector analysishigh confidence

Revenue & price projection

Actual revenue Projected revenue Base case Bull to bear range
Bull case (2030)
$3,105.34
$9.3B Rev × 20x P/S
Base case (2030)
$1,851.26
$9.3B Rev × 12x P/S
Bear case (2030)
$1,254.08
$9.3B Rev × 8x P/S

Financial forecast — research-backed

Metric2023202420252026 (E)2028 (E)2029 (E)2030 (E)
Revenue$6.8B$6.5B$6.5B$6.9B$8.1B$8.7B$9.3B
Revenue growth-3.6%0.1%12.8%8.3%7.7%6.8%
EPS$19.33$17.41$18.83$20.47$25.80$27.95$29.85
P/S ratio12.0x12.0x12.0x12.0x
Implied price$1,373.51$1,612.39$1,731.82$1,851.26

Catalysts & risks

Growth catalysts
+ Infrastructure spending acceleration from federal programs (Biden administration IIJA/Infrastructure Investment)
+ Data center construction boom driving aggregates and ready-mix concrete demand
+ Quikrete asset exchange completion (Feb 2026) expanding product portfolio and geographic reach
+ Margin expansion from cost initiatives and operational leverage
+ Potential M&A in fragmented aggregates market
Key risks
- Federal infrastructure spending delays and appropriations uncertainty
- Commercial real estate slowdown reducing non-residential construction demand
- Housing market weakness impacting residential construction activity
- Freight and fuel cost inflation pressuring margins
- Interest rate sensitivity affecting construction financing and customer capex
- Competitive pricing pressure in aggregates markets

Methodology

Martin Marietta Materials Inc's forward estimates are derived from AI-powered research synthesis combining analyst consensus from 14 Wall Street analysts, management guidance from the latest earnings call, and sector growth forecasts from industry research. Revenue and EPS projections use analyst consensus where available and conservative extrapolation with growth deceleration for outer years. Price targets are calculated using a tiered Price-to-Sales (P/S) methodology, where the P/S multiple is determined by the projected revenue growth rate.

WallStSmart proprietary research model · Not financial advice · Past performance is not indicative of future results · Last researched: April 7, 2026.