MGM Resorts International
NYSE: MGM · CONSUMER CYCLICAL · RESORTS & CASINOS
Updated 2026-04-29
MGM Resorts International (MGM) Stock Valuation Analysis
Fair value estimate, historical valuation range, and quality signals for MGM.
Valued
Valuation reasonably reflects current fundamentals. Limited margin of safety at these levels.
MGM historical valuation range
Where current P/E sits in MGM's own 5Y range.
MGM intrinsic value (DCF)
DCF-based fair value estimate vs current market price.
Intrinsic value calculated using discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on projected free cash flows, discount rate, and terminal growth assumptions. A positive margin of safety indicates the current price is below estimated fair value, providing a cushion against estimation error.
MGM valuation signals
Quick-read green flags, caution flags, and risks based on current metrics.
P/E Ratio — History
Current: 51.67x
P/S Ratio — History
Current: 0.57x
Is MGM overvalued in 2026?
MGM Resorts International (MGM) currently trades at $39.27 per share with a market capitalization of $10,046,386,000.00. Based on our multi-factor framework, the stock trades at a fair valuation with a Smart Value Score of 65/100. This score blends growth quality, financial health, and price attractiveness into a single institutional-grade read.
The stock trades at a P/E ratio of 51.7x, above its 5-year median of 18.2x. The PEG ratio of 0.97 suggests earnings growth is outpacing the multiple, a classic sign of undervaluation.
Looking at its own history, MGM is currently trading more expensive than 96% of the last 5Y on P/E. This places it in the 96th percentile of its historical range, a zone where forward returns have typically been muted.
Our discounted cash flow model estimates MGM's intrinsic value at $94.60 per share, against the current market price of $39.27. This implies a margin of safety of +61.56%. A meaningful cushion exists against model error, making this a reasonable risk-adjusted entry.
The Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 puts financial quality in a middling range, neither a standout strength nor an obvious red flag.
Bottom line: MGM trades at a fair valuation on our framework, with a Smart Value Score of 65/100. The valuation is defensible but offers no obvious bargain. Patience or a better entry price may reward disciplined buyers.
Frequently asked questions
Is MGM overvalued in 2026?
Based on a Smart Value Score of 65/100, MGM is fairly valued. Price reasonably reflects current fundamentals with limited cushion in either direction.
What is MGM's fair value?
Our DCF model estimates MGM's intrinsic value at $94.60 per share, versus the current price of $39.27. This produces a margin of safety of +61.56%.
What P/E ratio does MGM trade at?
MGM trades at a P/E of 51.7x on trailing twelve-month earnings, compared to its 5-year median of 18.2x.
Is MGM a buy based on valuation?
WallStSmart does not issue buy or sell recommendations. Our Smart Value Score of 65/100 reflects the combined read on growth, quality, and price. The profile is balanced. Best suited for investors with an existing thesis.
How does MGM's valuation compare to its history?
On P/E, MGM currently sits in the 96th percentile of its own 5Y range. That is historically expensive relative to where it has traded over the period.
What is MGM's Smart Value Score?
MGM's Smart Value Score is 65/100. The Smart Value Score is a proprietary WallStSmart metric blending growth quality, financial health, and valuation attractiveness into a single 0-100 read. Scores above 75 are rare and indicate strong multi-factor alignment.