WallStSmart
LI

Li Auto Inc

NASDAQ: LI · CONSUMER CYCLICAL · AUTO MANUFACTURERS

$17.75
-0.17% today

Updated 2026-04-29

Market cap
$18.14B
P/E ratio
110.94
P/S ratio
0.16x
EPS (TTM)
$0.16
Dividend yield
—
52W range
$16 – $32
Volume
3.1M
OverviewPrice TargetsFinancialsValuationInsidersEarnings

Li Auto Inc (LI) Financial Forecast & Price Target 2030

Research-backed projections from analyst consensus, management guidance, and sector analysis.

Price target summary

Current
$17.75
Consensus
$19,660.00
+110660.56%
2030 Target
$3,747.38
+21012.00%
DCF
$148.42
+87.06% MoS
10 analysts:
1 Buy7 Hold4 Sell

Management guidance

No specific revenue targets or CAGR guidance published by Li Auto management for 2026-2030 period. Company focused on near-term execution: Q2 2026 launch of new Li L9 model, expansion of retail/charging network, and development of MindVLA autonomous driving technology. Management emphasizes strategic roadmap confidence reflected in $1B share buyback program.

Sources: Management guidance, analyst consensus, sector analysishigh confidence

Revenue & price projection

Actual revenue Projected revenue Base case Bull to bear range
Bull case (2030)
$6,245.02
$328.0B Rev × 20x P/S
Base case (2030)
$3,747.38
$328.0B Rev × 12x P/S
Bear case (2030)
$2,497.64
$328.0B Rev × 8x P/S

Financial forecast — research-backed

Metric2023202420252026 (E)2027 (E)2028 (E)2029 (E)2030 (E)
Revenue$123.8B$144.5B$109.3B$139.5B$171.5B$215.0B$268.0B$328.0B
Revenue growth—16.7%-24.4%24.2%22.9%25.3%24.7%22.4%
EPS$9.74$4.87$2.22$2.94$4.88$6.50$8.40$10.20
P/S ratio———12.0x12.0x12.0x12.0x12.0x
Implied price———$1,593.10$1,958.61$2,455.18$3,060.67$3,747.38

Catalysts & risks

Growth catalysts
+ Li L9 launch in Q2 2026 expected to stabilize margins and drive delivery growth
+ MindVLA autonomous driving foundation model rollout to compete with Tesla/XPeng
+ Expansion of supercharging network and retail infrastructure across China
+ Margin recovery as supply chain stabilizes and production ramps
+ $1B share repurchase program through March 2027 providing shareholder support
Key risks
- Intense EV price competition in China compressing vehicle margins and demand
- High exposure to China economic slowdown and consumer spending weakness
- Transition from Extended Range (EX) to pure battery electric vehicles (BEV) adoption risk
- Negative sentiment from analysts (2 sell ratings, recent downgrades from JPM and Jefferies)
- Geopolitical tensions affecting Chinese EV exports and tariffs
- Competition from BYD, NIO, XPeng with larger scale and lower costs

Methodology

Li Auto Inc's forward estimates are derived from AI-powered research synthesis combining analyst consensus from 10 Wall Street analysts, management guidance from the latest earnings call, and sector growth forecasts from industry research. Revenue and EPS projections use analyst consensus where available and conservative extrapolation with growth deceleration for outer years. Price targets are calculated using a tiered Price-to-Sales (P/S) methodology, where the P/S multiple is determined by the projected revenue growth rate.

WallStSmart proprietary research model · Not financial advice · Past performance is not indicative of future results · Last researched: April 7, 2026.